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Archives >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

Ed Dunham
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2091
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge
Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM

Dry air NE, NW and SW of the system has cleared out the cirrus shield - and discloses a common theme this season, i.e., the low-level center is outrunning the MLC and is displaced to the southwest of the MLC. It should be noted that the LLC is also rather weak. I'm basing this on the 00Z NHC position coordinates of 13.9N 51.8W - but with a weak circulation and IR imagery its a difficult challenge. General movement based on coordinate history is WNW but without a good LLC fix, the movement could still be to the west.

Here is the Recon schedule for tomorrow with fixes at 18Z and 21/00Z.
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-080

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING LESSER ANTILLES)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 20/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01GGA INVEST
C. 20/1615Z
D. 15.3N 57.5W
E. 20/1730Z TO 20/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. TROPICAL DERESSION EIGHT
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 76
A. 21/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0608A CYCLONE
C. 20/2015Z
D. 17.0N 88.00W
E. 20/2330Z TO 21/0300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON WHAT IS NOW THE SUSPECT
AREA IF IT DEVELOPS AT 21/1200Z.
B. POSSIBLE G-IV SURVEILANCE MISSION FOR THE
SAME SYSTEM AT 22/0000Z.

ED

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Irene Conditions/Observations in Your Area	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:43 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:01 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	RevUp	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	BryanG	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:17 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:35 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 12:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Tue Aug 23 2011 01:22 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:31 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 03:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:55 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	cjzydeco	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:57 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:06 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	dolfinatic	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:51 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:19 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 01:43 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:21 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:53 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:41 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	peteferr	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:41 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:57 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:36 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:59 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:03 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:39 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 07:27 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:13 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:23 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 11:12 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	vineyardsaker	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:54 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	LoisCane	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:05 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:28 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:58 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	doug	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:40 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	GlenJohnson	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Thu Aug 25 2011 09:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:58 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:55 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 05:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Edski	Fri Aug 26 2011 06:53 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 11:51 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Aug 27 2011 12:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Sat Aug 27 2011 07:20 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 26 2011 10:34 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TallyBob	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:02 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:11 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:25 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:39 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:09 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:50 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:33 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:49 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 03:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Joeyfl	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:40 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 18 2011 05:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 18 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	danielw	Thu Aug 18 2011 09:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 07:14 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 10:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:59 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 05:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 07:03 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:31 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 09:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:21 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:20 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cooper13	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:30 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:56 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 10:18 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:54 PM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:55 AM
Abaco	Bev	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:39 AM
Re: Abaco	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 06:37 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cguhr3	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:36 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:54 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Wed Aug 24 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Rob1966	Wed Aug 24 2011 01:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:12 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Owlguin	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:08 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:32 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Sat Aug 20 2011 01:29 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 20 2011 04:43 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	doug	Sat Aug 20 2011 05:40 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Edski	Sat Aug 20 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 07:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	B.C.Francis	Sat Aug 20 2011 12:52 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 AM

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