At the current time, 8:28AM EDT. Only ONE of the 8 models at http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ has Irene going away from the East Coast of Florida. And that is the GFDL. At the 120 hour mark it is centered near Key West, Fl and the Dry Tortugas.
All of the other 7 models either brush or strike the East Coast of Florida in the 5 day frame.
The Whole Florida Peninsula is in the 5 day Cone of Certainty for Irene at this point. So please make sure that you have begun your Storm Preparations.
Models Change every 6 to 12 hours don't wait until it's too Late.
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