Today's the day you want to sign up for the Bastardi 30 day free trial at Accuweather. There's a ton of juicy information in his column. You can always cancel it on September 14th without paying anything or even October 14th and you get two months of tropical coverage for $19.95. Not a bad deal. He alludes to a lot of stuff today both in his column and his tropical update (e.g. potential for a long tracked storm, close in formation, future gulf and east coast hits and surprisingly, a wave south of the Greater Antilles which doesn't even show up on the sats yet - look at the area this weekend south of FL).
Anyway, he's still very bullish on 91L. One of his obvious points was with 91L traversing some 88 degree water, the only thing that will keep it in check is the forward speed. That makes a lot of sense and has all along. But he's calling it "textbook case" if the MLC and LLC get stacked - at least Claudette potential (which would give us our 3rd Gulf/US Landfall this year). His big key is does the LLC pull the MLC to it or vice versa, and therefore, potential implications for exactly where the storm would impact TX/MX. Arguing what he likes is modeling showing 50mph jet blowing SW out of the system.
My early gut after the mess clears Florida is a pulse up by late tonight which should allow for 36-40 hours of intensification. How far can it get? I'm still thinking easily Cat-1, and probably up to 100mph sustained if not more (depending on surrounding factors).
Big thing is to stay tuned if you're in South Texas!
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 16296
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center