Irene has a better chance of moving east of the Bahamas then going into the GOM.
I still dont see her getting past 79W and 30N.. but that is 6 days out still... Right now I see her moving up the bahamas.. the current 12Z GFS is inline pretty much and wouldnt surprise me to see Irene go even further east.. Florida isn't 100% out of the woods..but it would have to weaken and move more W on Monday-Tuesday for this to have a chance to make Florida.
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