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Archives >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
Admin

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2779
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Irene Forecast Lounge
Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM

The 12Z models are rolling in, and the trend has a bit more eastward.
GFDL 12Z: Over Puerto Rico, Over entire length of Hispaniola, over eastern half of Cuba, Emerges into Florida Straits on Thursday, over Key west Friday, up entire western Spine of Florida.
HWRF: Takes Irene over Dominican Republic and north avoiding Haiti, avoids Florida well to the East, rim ends with storm nearing Charleston, SC
Euro: Over PR, Clips Dominican Republic, deepens rapidly at 72 hours out north of Hispaniola... Enters Southwest Bahams 96 hours out... stays east of Florida barely misses WPB Friday... Landfall south of Charleston, SC Saturday as a major hurricane... still running...
GFS 12Z: over Dominican Republic, misses Cuba, through the western Bahamas, stays east of Florida, landfall near Hilton Head, SC Saturday.
Canadian: Keeps system off east coast (brushes Outer Banks) ... Hope this trend continues
NOGAPS: Keeps it east of Florida, Landfall near Wilmington, NC Saturday.
TCVN: Landfall Charleston, SC Saturday
UKMET: Enters it into the Gulf

So far the trend is looking better for Florida, less so for the Carolinas. It is good to see the chance of a recurve before the US going up, but it's still way too low for comfort (Although it may soon be 50/50 again). The catch is, Irene is still not the best defined system, and the "Center" is jumping around a bit which can mean a lot for eventual landfall position. The more northerly position may very well be a good sign for Florida. Still the NHC's cone looks pretty good.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Irene Conditions/Observations in Your Area	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:43 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:01 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	RevUp	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	BryanG	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:17 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:35 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 12:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Tue Aug 23 2011 01:22 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:31 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 03:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:55 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	cjzydeco	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:57 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:06 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	dolfinatic	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:51 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:19 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 01:43 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:21 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:53 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:41 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	peteferr	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:41 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:57 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:36 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:59 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:03 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:39 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 07:27 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:13 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:23 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 11:12 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	vineyardsaker	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:54 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	LoisCane	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:05 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:28 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:58 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	doug	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:40 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	GlenJohnson	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Thu Aug 25 2011 09:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:58 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:55 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 05:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Edski	Fri Aug 26 2011 06:53 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 11:51 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Aug 27 2011 12:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Sat Aug 27 2011 07:20 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 26 2011 10:34 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TallyBob	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:02 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:11 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:25 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:39 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:09 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:50 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:33 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:49 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 03:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Joeyfl	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:40 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 18 2011 05:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 18 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	danielw	Thu Aug 18 2011 09:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 07:14 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 10:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:59 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 05:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 07:03 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:31 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 09:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:21 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:20 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cooper13	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:30 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:56 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 10:18 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:54 PM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:55 AM
Abaco	Bev	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:39 AM
Re: Abaco	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 06:37 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cguhr3	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:36 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:54 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Wed Aug 24 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Rob1966	Wed Aug 24 2011 01:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:12 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Owlguin	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:08 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:32 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Sat Aug 20 2011 01:29 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 20 2011 04:43 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	doug	Sat Aug 20 2011 05:40 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Edski	Sat Aug 20 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 07:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	B.C.Francis	Sat Aug 20 2011 12:52 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 AM

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