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Archives >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

CFHCAdministrator



Reged: Sun
Posts: 134
Loc: East Central Florida
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge
      Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM

What the GFDL seems to be picking up on is just keeping the Atlantic ridge stronger through the period, which would force it more west if it occurred. This is a possibility, just not the most probable one.

Basically the ridge line for the GFS around the same period is along the NC/SC border, and for the GFDL the ridge line is near the FL/GA border. Look at the 500mb plots to see the ridge lines. This Animation you can see the "line" at 84 hours out running through the Ga/Fl border.

In this animation you see the GFS plot, which in 84 hours if you look for the line where the "yellow" turns to orange, you see it pass near the NC/SC border. This is a good representation of the ridge that is being talked about.

The GFDL is already a bit off, so the GFS is probably closer to what will happen. The cautionary note is that the GFS has a history of under doing ridges. The good news (for florida) is the consensus models have shifted east again, but worse news for the Carolinas. This will likely change more over the next 2 days.

Edited by MikeC (Mon Aug 22 2011 09:49 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Irene Forecast Lounge weathernet Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge k___g   Thu Aug 25 2011 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Irene Conditions/Observations in Your Area MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 25 2011 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2011 06:01 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 23 2011 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge RevUp   Tue Aug 23 2011 06:44 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge BryanG   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Tue Aug 23 2011 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Marknole   Tue Aug 23 2011 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Tue Aug 23 2011 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge k___g   Tue Aug 23 2011 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Tue Aug 23 2011 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2011 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Tue Aug 23 2011 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Floridacane   Tue Aug 23 2011 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2011 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge cjzydeco   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Wingwiper   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Tue Aug 23 2011 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Tue Aug 23 2011 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Tue Aug 23 2011 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge dolfinatic   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2011 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge weathernet   Mon Aug 22 2011 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge peteferr   Mon Aug 22 2011 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Mon Aug 22 2011 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2011 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Mon Aug 22 2011 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 21 2011 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge berrywr   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 07:27 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2011 08:13 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Mon Aug 22 2011 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 20 2011 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 20 2011 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Aug 21 2011 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Sun Aug 21 2011 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Thu Aug 25 2011 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Thu Aug 25 2011 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Aug 25 2011 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Aug 25 2011 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 25 2011 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 25 2011 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Wingwiper   Thu Aug 25 2011 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* GlenJohnson   Thu Aug 25 2011 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Thu Aug 25 2011 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:55 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Edski   Fri Aug 26 2011 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Aug 26 2011 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Fri Aug 26 2011 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Aug 27 2011 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TXEB   Sat Aug 27 2011 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Fri Aug 26 2011 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TallyBob   Fri Aug 26 2011 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:11 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 21 2011 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Sun Aug 21 2011 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sun Aug 21 2011 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 21 2011 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge k___g   Sun Aug 21 2011 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Marknole   Sun Aug 21 2011 06:39 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 21 2011 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Marknole   Sun Aug 21 2011 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 21 2011 01:20 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Sun Aug 21 2011 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Mon Aug 22 2011 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Mon Aug 22 2011 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Mon Aug 22 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Mon Aug 22 2011 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Irene Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 21 2011 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 19 2011 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Fri Aug 19 2011 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 19 2011 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 18 2011 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Thu Aug 18 2011 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 18 2011 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge stormtiger   Thu Aug 18 2011 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 18 2011 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 18 2011 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 19 2011 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Fri Aug 19 2011 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Fri Aug 19 2011 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Fri Aug 19 2011 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2011 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge ralphfl   Tue Aug 23 2011 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:31 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge watchinout   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge watchinout   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge watchinout   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge cooper13   Thu Aug 25 2011 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 25 2011 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Thu Aug 25 2011 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Thu Aug 25 2011 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 25 2011 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:54 PM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 25 2011 12:55 AM
. * * Abaco Bev   Thu Aug 25 2011 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Abaco MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 25 2011 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge TheOtherRick   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Wed Aug 24 2011 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Rob1966   Wed Aug 24 2011 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 19 2011 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Fri Aug 19 2011 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Aug 19 2011 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Aug 20 2011 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Aug 20 2011 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Aug 20 2011 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 20 2011 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Aug 20 2011 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Edski   Sat Aug 20 2011 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 20 2011 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 20 2011 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge B.C.Francis   Sat Aug 20 2011 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Fri Aug 19 2011 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 AM

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