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Archives >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
Admin

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2779
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Irene Forecast Lounge
Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM

8/22/2011 18Z model rundown (As it comes in)

GFDL 18Z: Irene stays north of Caribbean islands and southwest of Bahamas through run, Landfall Miami on Friday pressures in Category 4 range. Center over Orlando Saturday still with Category 2-3 level pressures, forward motion slowing quite a bit, Final frame, Sunday west of Jacksonville, weakening rapidly, but still quite strong. This run is east of the last run, but the forward motion is much quicker, moving the timeline up earlier Friday.
18Z HWRF: 48 hours out, slightly south of 12Z run. 72 hours, over Andros island in the Bahamas, with a pressure typical of cat 4 hurricanes. 100 miles or so sw of the earlier run. at 78 hours.. Offshore Miami about 80 miles still cat 4. 90 Hours... Offshore Jupiter ~50 miles, pressure approaching Cat 5 territory. 96Hours... Offshore Cape Canaveral 50 miles, still with solid Category 4 pressure, forward speed noticeably slower. (a good 100 miles west of prior run position). 126 hours (Final frame)... 30 miles south of Savannah, GA / Hilton Head, SC still heading north... slightly weaker, but still category 4 level pressures. Overall about a 120 mile shift west for this run of the model.
Euro: N/A (next run is 0z models)
18Z GFS: Irene Moving faster than before, 84 hours ~100 miles offshore east of Florida... (Slighly west of the last run's position). Sunday just offshore between Charleston and Myrtle Beach, SC. Sunday afternoon, Landfall near Wilmington, NC... Monday over the Hampton Roads area in Virginia .. Tuesday, over Philadelphia,PA (East coast runner).... over New York CIty.... over Boston Tuesday Afternoon, heading into Maine.... Wednesday into Canada... Not a pretty run at all.
Canadian: N/A
NOGAPS: N/A
TCVN: Not Available Yet
UKMET: N/A

Edited by MikeC (Mon Aug 22 2011 08:05 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Irene Conditions/Observations in Your Area	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:43 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:01 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	RevUp	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	BryanG	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:17 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:35 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 12:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Tue Aug 23 2011 01:22 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:31 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 03:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:55 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	cjzydeco	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:57 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:06 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	dolfinatic	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:51 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:19 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 01:43 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:21 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:53 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:41 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	peteferr	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:41 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:57 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:36 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:59 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:03 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:39 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 07:27 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:13 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:23 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 11:12 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	vineyardsaker	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:54 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	LoisCane	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:05 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:28 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:58 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	doug	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:40 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	GlenJohnson	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Thu Aug 25 2011 09:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:58 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:55 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 05:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Edski	Fri Aug 26 2011 06:53 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 11:51 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Aug 27 2011 12:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Sat Aug 27 2011 07:20 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 26 2011 10:34 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TallyBob	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:02 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:11 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:25 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:39 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:09 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:50 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:33 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:49 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 03:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Joeyfl	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:40 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 18 2011 05:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 18 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	danielw	Thu Aug 18 2011 09:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 07:14 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 10:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:59 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 05:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 07:03 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:31 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 09:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:21 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:20 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cooper13	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:30 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:56 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 10:18 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:54 PM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:55 AM
Abaco	Bev	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:39 AM
Re: Abaco	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 06:37 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cguhr3	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:36 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:54 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Wed Aug 24 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Rob1966	Wed Aug 24 2011 01:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:12 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Owlguin	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:08 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:32 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Sat Aug 20 2011 01:29 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 20 2011 04:43 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	doug	Sat Aug 20 2011 05:40 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Edski	Sat Aug 20 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 07:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	B.C.Francis	Sat Aug 20 2011 12:52 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 AM

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