GFDL 18Z: Irene stays north of Caribbean islands and southwest of Bahamas through run, Landfall Miami on Friday pressures in Category 4 range. Center over Orlando Saturday still with Category 2-3 level pressures, forward motion slowing quite a bit, Final frame, Sunday west of Jacksonville, weakening rapidly, but still quite strong. This run is east of the last run, but the forward motion is much quicker, moving the timeline up earlier Friday. 18Z HWRF: 48 hours out, slightly south of 12Z run. 72 hours, over Andros island in the Bahamas, with a pressure typical of cat 4 hurricanes. 100 miles or so sw of the earlier run. at 78 hours.. Offshore Miami about 80 miles still cat 4. 90 Hours... Offshore Jupiter ~50 miles, pressure approaching Cat 5 territory. 96Hours... Offshore Cape Canaveral 50 miles, still with solid Category 4 pressure, forward speed noticeably slower. (a good 100 miles west of prior run position). 126 hours (Final frame)... 30 miles south of Savannah, GA / Hilton Head, SC still heading north... slightly weaker, but still category 4 level pressures. Overall about a 120 mile shift west for this run of the model. Euro: N/A (next run is 0z models) 18Z GFS: Irene Moving faster than before, 84 hours ~100 miles offshore east of Florida... (Slighly west of the last run's position). Sunday just offshore between Charleston and Myrtle Beach, SC. Sunday afternoon, Landfall near Wilmington, NC... Monday over the Hampton Roads area in Virginia .. Tuesday, over Philadelphia,PA (East coast runner).... over New York CIty.... over Boston Tuesday Afternoon, heading into Maine.... Wednesday into Canada... Not a pretty run at all. Canadian: N/A NOGAPS: N/A TCVN: Not Available Yet UKMET: N/A
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 85960
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center