That's what I am seeing in the 18Z runs - a very slight westward shift. We'll see if that continues on the 00Z runs. With Irene rapidly intensifying into a much stronger storm, the models are certainly going to be a bit more uncertain over time. The timing on the Eastern CONUS trough and Irene is going to be critical in determining exactly where Irene eventually goes. No one should be letting their guard down on this one. The next 2 -3 days are going to be very interesting.
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