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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14
      Thu Aug 14 2003 05:34 PM

Fully agree with the continued western trend at a similar speed. If there was ever high pressure, it's here now. Yesterday was cloudy (under the influence of that wave all day) and got to about 82-85. Today is nothing but blue skies and hot sun - 91 or 92 I'm sure.

We'll have to see what happens overnight, but if you're in south Texas, remember the rule of storms intensifying when hitting that coast perpendicularly. Could be a major league player.

Also, Erika officially ends the 60 year trend of 2 (*edit* - all years but 1 which had 3) or less storms after years with 6 or more storms in the Gulf. This is another oddity in a season full of 'em. My forecast said there would be at least 5 named storms in the GOM, and I expect to hit it.

As for down the road, I doubt we'll have to look as far east as Africa. We've got sustained convection pulling slightly north off the coast of Central America and a wave just making its way into the Islands which doesn't look like much - but these are the ones that blow up after they reach 70. It's still pretty far south and could end up being EPAC action. But with Bastardi saying watch due South of the tip (head?) of Florida this weekend as an area to expect development, and with two systems more or less offering some heat energy for that area. And it all pisses me off because I'm trying to get insurance on a house I'm supposed to close on next week. As anyone in Louisiana can tell you, if there's a named storm in the Gulf (headed this way or not), underwriters won't issue policies. Bah. For once, I'd like to see some quiet (if only for a week).

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical System Approaches South Florida Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Aug 14 2003 05:34 PM
. * * the other area Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:54 PM
. * * THE wave... bobbi... really   Sun Aug 17 2003 08:52 PM
. * * Other noteworthy area Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:02 PM
. * * west winds Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:26 PM
. * * low level circulation forming? Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:27 PM
. * * Re: low level circulation forming? clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:52 PM
. * * Re: low level circulation forming? J.J.   Thu Aug 14 2003 03:23 PM
. * * Re: another ULL? Tropics Guy   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:03 PM
. * * recon found SW wind Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:18 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:27 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:33 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:41 PM
. * * ERIKA Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:50 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:53 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:00 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:03 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:34 PM
. * * TS Erika Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:27 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:57 PM
. * * Non-Weather Bulletin clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Non-Weather Bulletin Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:29 PM
. * * Re: another ULL? Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:14 PM
. * * NRL garyb   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:20 PM
. * * Re: NRL Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:24 PM
. * * low level circ? Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Cocoa Beach   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:23 AM
. * * low level center Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:18 AM
. * * Re: low level center stormchazer   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:10 PM
. * * Re: low level center Rad   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:21 PM
. * * Re: low level center Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:40 PM
. * * Re: low level center scottsvb   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:24 PM
. * * Re: low level center Joe   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:08 PM
. * * Re: low level center caneman   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:25 PM
. * * Re: low level center Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:21 PM
. * * Re: low level center andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:46 AM
. * * 60 mph gust Alex   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:31 PM
. * * Re: 60 mph gust Brad In Mia mi   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:35 PM
. * * What's your guess CocoaBeach   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:31 PM
. * * Re: What's your guess Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida mp3reed   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Ray   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida caneman   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida RBL   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida PFSThunder   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:28 PM
. * * Some Answers Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Some Answers Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:02 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida squirralee   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Jamie-on-dabyu   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida lisagolias   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida clyde w.   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida clyde w.   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:17 PM
. * * interesting Robert   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:25 PM
. * * New center or MLC? Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:02 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:37 AM
. * * someone have a link please LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:57 AM
. * * Palm Bay Florida report Floridacane   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Mary K.   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:40 AM
. * * Saint Cloud PFSThunder   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Saint Cloud PFSThunder   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report javlin   Thu Aug 14 2003 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report caneman   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Lisa NC   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:08 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:10 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:38 AM
. * * Thanks Robert... bobbi   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve-unplugged   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:26 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... BillD   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... LadyStorm   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:11 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:06 AM
. * * since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:17 AM
. * * Re: since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:11 PM
. * * Re: since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? met   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... 57497479   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... JustMe   Thu Aug 14 2003 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... stormchazer   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:14 AM
. * * Port St. Lucie, Florida report Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Port St. Lucie, Florida report Ray   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:52 AM
. * * Closed circulation Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Port St. Lucie, Florida report LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve H.   Thu Aug 14 2003 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Interesting note Jim M   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:21 PM
. * * Hey Jamie... Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida squirralee   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Justin in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:50 PM
. * * Heh. Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida HanKFranK   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rad   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:07 PM
. * * bigger picture HanKFranK   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:47 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:40 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:05 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture JustMe   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:19 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:39 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture stormchazer   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:02 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture k___g   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:07 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture caneman   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rich B   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:18 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rich B   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:02 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM
. * * Recon?? ShawnS   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Recon?? TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM
. * * Yeah I noticed it... Steve-Unplugged   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Yeah I noticed it... Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:44 PM
. * * I got off my lazy butt and logged in... Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:41 PM
. * * Re: I got off my lazy butt and logged in... GATOR   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Will from Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Jim M   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve H.   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:23 PM
. * * Dvorak Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Will from Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:12 PM
. * * Winds Increasing Along The Gold Coast WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Winds Increasing Along The Gold Coast The Saints   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:15 PM
. * * Thank You Ed.. love the new room/board bobbi   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:09 PM

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