I haven't looked at everything but what I have looked at I think a nudging back to the west is justified. The Bermuda subtropical upper ridge has built to back over 594 decameters and the Mid-Continental subtropical upper ridge has slightly weakened over the past 24 hours to 595 decameters and shifted north and west. SW winds aloft along the east coast are indicative of the influence of the Bermuda ridge where inland winds veer sharply to the east under the influence of the Mid-C ridge. The upper low and longwave trough have retrograded westward in response to shortwaves moving across the US/Canadian border and into the trough. This shift and building of the Bermuda ridge will induce a south to north flow. I think our streak of hurricanes not making landfall will be over Saturday or Sunday. The NE USA has been wet all summer; despite a weaker hurricane it's impacts are likely to be more severe.
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