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Eresto Staying out to Sea. 99L is a low development chance (20%) system approaching the eastern Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Nate) , Major: 330 (Maria) Florida - Any: 340 (Irma) Major: 340 (Irma)
42.0N 43.2W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Ne at 16 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

JMII
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 293
Loc: Margate, Florida
Re: Irene Storm Preps
      Fri Aug 26 2011 02:50 PM

The wind field may be large, but only TS force winds. The hurricane force winds are in a small cluster to the NE of the center. I noticed yesterday that the front moving off the east coast was pretty sizable and thus might be able to nudge Irene a touch east. However the front is gone now leaving Irene to pulled due north into NC. Luckily the atmosphere in is full of dry air so she is going to be cut off from the moisture flow. The SW side of this storm has never looked good and that trend continues as it appears she has sucked some dry air which causes some weakness. The IR image shows some rebuilding is beginning, just a question of how much can occur before landfall. The next front coming down is a weak dip, not enough to kick Irene away, so I'd say the NHC forecast path is pretty good. I think the areas around DC will see the worst of it, with wind, rain and surge all pushing ashore in that area the most.

In regards to surge, the one thing I've always heard is: hide from wind, run from water. Rising water is no joke, I witnessed surge only once: during David in '79 and its a strange sight to see your boat in the backyard ABOVE your dock and seawall. That was a Cat 2 in West Palm and I lived around 7-10 miles inland on the New River in Ft Laud.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, but actually had to put up the panels for:
David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Frances ('04) - Wilma ('05) - Matthew ('16) - Irma ('17)


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Warnings into Massachusetts as Irene Closes in on North Carolina's Outer Banks MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 26 2011 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps Edski   Fri Aug 26 2011 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings into Massachusetts as Irene Closes in on North Carolina's Outer Banks cieldumort   Fri Aug 26 2011 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps JMII   Fri Aug 26 2011 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps Joeyfl   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps Random Chaos   Fri Aug 26 2011 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps ralphfl   Fri Aug 26 2011 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps JMII   Fri Aug 26 2011 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps cjzydeco   Fri Aug 26 2011 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Irene Slightly Weaker but Larger and Heading to North Carolina cieldumort   Fri Aug 26 2011 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps BTfromAZ   Fri Aug 26 2011 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps JMII   Fri Aug 26 2011 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 26 2011 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps Genesis   Fri Aug 26 2011 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Irene Slightly Weaker but Larger and Heading to North Carolina Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Irene Storm Preps Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 01:00 PM
. * * Irene Storm Preps danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts adam s   Fri Aug 26 2011 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 26 2011 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts Dougyd   Fri Aug 26 2011 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Irene Surge Forecasts Tazmanian93   Fri Aug 26 2011 08:39 AM
. * * Irene Surge Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 26 2011 08:28 AM

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