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Remnant TD9 Moves into the Yucatan. TS Warnings Have Been Dropped.
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Archives >> 2011 News Talkbacks

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Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: 93L in the Gulf
      Thu Sep 01 2011 01:16 PM

Am not at all getting the "warm and fuzzies" regarding 93L. Prior to those oil rig reports, I was eyeing the vis. satellite and took note of a point of low level turning close to 28N and 90W. Of course this could be an "eddie", and/or a point where a low level is trying to form. Ultimately, it will take a little time for convection to maintain itself, and thus start to wrap around such a center. Given current shear, this is the near term saving grace. Once we get a solid CDO, though....., looks like steering is nebulous at best. Those wind reports ( especially the strong winds coming out of the SSE ( 140 degrees ), further implies to me that a possible center might be near or slightly west of 90W.

Almost strikes me as a possible "wetter/larger" version of Elena - Labor Day Weekend 1985. The system came off the coast of Cuba I think, started going toward the Northwest and threatened the Texas E. Gulf Coast, then "zigged" east a little, than "zagged" back west and I think came ashore on the Louisiana coastline.

Models are all over the place still, but I know one thing...., Katia "should" be bending more to the NW, but is presently getting sheared and perhaps less responsive to the mid level steering weakness to its Northwest. It appears to be racing more or less Westward at the moment. Now I know Texas really could use the rains from what may turn into "Lee", but despite Texas being as parched as it is, am not to sure it would be good news for the Conus, to see a pattern that could see a "potential" storm in the Gulf starting to head Southwest or Westward. Should the large mid/upper ridge thats been sitting over the Southern Plains finally decide to nudge it's influence eastward, than the Conus might see greater risk from systems approaching from the deep tropics and farther east.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 01 2011 01:16 PM
. * * Re: 93L is now 13L Random Chaos   Thu Sep 01 2011 09:38 PM
. * * Re: 93L is now 13L MichaelA   Thu Sep 01 2011 09:36 PM
. * * Re: 93L is now 13L LoisCane   Thu Sep 01 2011 08:58 PM
. * * Re: 93L is now 13L danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 07:43 PM
. * * Re: 93L is now 13L danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 07:37 PM
. * * 93L is now 13L danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic Joeyfl   Thu Sep 01 2011 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic mikethewreck   Thu Sep 01 2011 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic Joeyfl   Thu Sep 01 2011 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Katia Now A Hurricane Moving WNW in the Central Atlantic Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Katia Update weathernet   Thu Sep 01 2011 03:32 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf weathernet   Thu Sep 01 2011 03:13 PM
. * * Katia Update danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 03:03 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 02:36 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf GuppieGrouper   Thu Sep 01 2011 01:57 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf mikethewreck   Thu Sep 01 2011 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf Joeyfl   Thu Sep 01 2011 01:18 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf weathernet   Thu Sep 01 2011 01:16 PM
. * * Re: 93L in the Gulf danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 10:29 AM
. * * 93L in the Gulf danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf Joeyfl   Wed Aug 31 2011 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf Random Chaos   Wed Aug 31 2011 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf TXEB   Wed Aug 31 2011 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf Random Chaos   Wed Aug 31 2011 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 31 2011 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf berrywr   Wed Aug 31 2011 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 31 2011 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 31 2011 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 31 2011 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 31 2011 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean papaswamp   Wed Aug 31 2011 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean delia6667   Wed Aug 31 2011 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean papaswamp   Wed Aug 31 2011 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean delia6667   Wed Aug 31 2011 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean doug   Wed Aug 31 2011 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 31 2011 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 31 2011 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 30 2011 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean Joeyfl   Tue Aug 30 2011 08:40 PM

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