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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker

Reged: Wed
Posts: 365

recon v. satellite/dvorak intensity
Sat Aug 16 2003 12:54 AM

Dvorak numbers now 4.0 (supports 65 kt), I think all 3 satellite estimates are now 65 kt, and it looks good enough to be a 65 kt hurricane -- but it looks like recon still isn't finding flight-level winds to support that. I realize there isn't a great discrepency between the recon data and these estimates, but I find it fascinating that we still don't understand why with some storms such discrepencies (often greater ones) exist.

Everybody in S. Tex., N. Mex: Be safe, and good luck.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	CFHC	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:54 AM
Central atlantic wave	Alex	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:42 PM
central atlantic wave	Alex	Mon Aug 18 2003 05:04 PM
can't be too long now	Alex	Sun Aug 17 2003 05:40 PM
GFS puts TC near Puerto Rico	Cycloneye	Sun Aug 17 2003 06:28 PM
Re: GFS puts TC near Puerto Rico	Lonny307	Sun Aug 17 2003 07:55 PM
reflection of a time long ago	Frank P	Sun Aug 17 2003 08:54 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	stormchazer	Mon Aug 18 2003 04:08 PM
Wish List for tomorrow: I want an invest on the wave	Bobbi	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:31 PM
Re: Wish List for tomorrow: I want an invest on the wave	Frank P	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:37 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	islander	Mon Aug 18 2003 05:05 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	Storm Cooper	Mon Aug 18 2003 04:57 PM
Jara/ Coop	Frank P	Mon Aug 18 2003 05:12 PM
Re: Jara/ Coop	Storm Cooper	Mon Aug 18 2003 06:46 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	JustMe	Mon Aug 18 2003 05:00 AM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	57497479	Mon Aug 18 2003 07:39 AM
Things of interest this morning...	Steve	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:48 AM
Re: Things of interest this morning...	islander	Mon Aug 18 2003 10:07 AM
Re: Things of interest this morning...	Frank P	Mon Aug 18 2003 11:03 AM
Re: Things of interest this morning...	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 01:26 PM
Re: Things of interest this morning...	Brad in Miami	Mon Aug 18 2003 11:16 AM
a beautiful wave...happy monday	LoisCane	Mon Aug 18 2003 12:07 PM
BOC	cajun	Mon Aug 18 2003 12:16 PM
Re: Things of interest this morning...	islander	Mon Aug 18 2003 12:03 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	Cycloneye	Mon Aug 18 2003 12:18 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	Tropics Guy	Mon Aug 18 2003 12:57 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	Brad in Miami	Mon Aug 18 2003 01:25 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	Tropics Guy	Mon Aug 18 2003 01:44 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 06:24 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 06:47 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	Steve	Mon Aug 18 2003 07:47 PM
Re: Things of interest this afternoon	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:26 PM
thanks all	Frank P	Mon Aug 18 2003 10:19 AM
Re: thanks all	Shan	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:22 PM
Re: thanks all	Storm Cooper	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:44 PM
Re: thanks all	57497479	Mon Aug 18 2003 10:29 PM
Re: thanks all	Storm Cooper	Mon Aug 18 2003 10:59 PM
Re: thanks all	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 11:19 PM
Re: thanks all	57497479	Mon Aug 18 2003 11:13 PM
Re: thanks all	BillD	Mon Aug 18 2003 08:01 PM
Re: thanks all	Frank P	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:05 PM
FWIW	Steve	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:22 PM
Re: FWIW	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:39 PM
still there in the morning...looking good, how bout a new room?	bobbi	Tue Aug 19 2003 05:41 AM
Re: still there in the morning...looking good, how bout a new room?	JustMe	Tue Aug 19 2003 07:59 AM
Re: FWIW	stormchazer	Mon Aug 18 2003 09:57 PM
Re: FWIW	javlin	Mon Aug 18 2003 10:13 PM
Atlantic wave has gained convection but is it organizing?	Cycloneye	Mon Aug 18 2003 07:14 AM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	57497479	Sun Aug 17 2003 10:27 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	Mitch	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:37 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	Kevin	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:58 PM
Re: reflection of a time long ago	squirralee	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:31 PM
latest vortex message	Alex	Fri Aug 15 2003 06:42 PM
wave train	Alex	Fri Aug 15 2003 03:21 PM
Re: wave train	stormchazer	Fri Aug 15 2003 04:48 PM
Afternoon Bastardi comment...	Steve	Fri Aug 15 2003 05:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	squirralee	Fri Aug 15 2003 11:32 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	scottsvb	Fri Aug 15 2003 11:51 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	islander	Fri Aug 15 2003 12:19 PM
Pressure down to 1002 mb	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 01:37 PM
1001 mb and still flying around	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 01:48 PM
(1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty (2) vortex message	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 01:42 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 02:23 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	scottsvb	Fri Aug 15 2003 02:36 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	islander	Fri Aug 15 2003 05:10 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	Cycloneye	Fri Aug 15 2003 05:52 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:12 AM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:23 AM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:37 AM
recon v. satellite/dvorak intensity	Brad in Miami	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:54 AM
Re: recon v. satellite/dvorak intensity	javlin	Sat Aug 16 2003 01:12 AM
Re: recon v. satellite/dvorak intensity	javlin	Sat Aug 16 2003 01:16 AM
Last thoughts for now on Erika	Steve	Fri Aug 15 2003 03:34 PM
Track	WXMAN RICHIE	Fri Aug 15 2003 10:01 PM
Re: Track	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 15 2003 11:50 PM
Re: Track	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:07 AM
Re: Track	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:02 AM
Re: Track	Steve	Fri Aug 15 2003 11:16 PM
Re: Track	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 06:43 AM
San Juan NWS discussion about atlantic wave and more	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 16 2003 07:51 AM
Re: San Juan NWS discussion about atlantic wave and more	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 08:09 AM
Re: San Juan NWS discussion about atlantic wave and more	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 11:35 AM
Hey Islander	Steve-unplugged	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:44 PM
Re: Hey Islander	Carl	Sat Aug 16 2003 01:50 PM
Re: Hey Islander	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 03:53 PM
Re: Hey Islander	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 04:53 PM
Re: Hey Islander	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 01:59 PM
Re: Hey Islander	Carl	Sat Aug 16 2003 04:17 PM
Re: Hey Islander	javlin	Sat Aug 16 2003 04:30 PM
Re: Hey Islander	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 04:27 PM
UKMET joins GFS and Nogaps on CV train development	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 16 2003 04:39 PM
Re: UKMET joins GFS and Nogaps on CV train development	islander	Sat Aug 16 2003 06:51 PM
Re: UKMET joins GFS and Nogaps on CV train development	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 16 2003 07:04 PM
Re: UKMET joins GFS and Nogaps on CV train development	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 05:29 PM
more to look at	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 16 2003 06:21 PM
Re: more to look at	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 06:58 PM
Re: more to look at	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 16 2003 06:52 PM
Re: more to look at	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 08:06 PM
Re: more to look at	Storm Cooper	Sat Aug 16 2003 11:04 PM
Re: more to look at	57497479	Sun Aug 17 2003 06:48 AM
Re: more to look at	Storm Cooper	Sun Aug 17 2003 07:25 AM
Re: more to look at	Cycloneye	Sun Aug 17 2003 07:52 AM
Re: more to look at	JustMe	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:30 AM
less to look at	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 16 2003 11:13 PM
Re: less to look at	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:40 AM
No known cure!	57497479	Sun Aug 17 2003 08:51 PM
Re: No known cure!	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 17 2003 09:07 PM
Re: No known cure!	57497479	Sun Aug 17 2003 10:30 PM
Re: less to look at	Mary K.	Sun Aug 17 2003 11:57 AM
Re: less to look at	stormchazer	Sun Aug 17 2003 02:01 PM
Re: less to look at	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 17 2003 10:29 AM
Re: less to look at	Mary K.	Sun Aug 17 2003 10:38 AM
18z GFS	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 16 2003 08:51 PM
Re: 18z GFS	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 09:02 PM
Re: 18z GFS	squirralee	Sat Aug 16 2003 10:49 PM
Re: 18z GFS	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 11:36 PM
Re: 18z GFS	squirralee	Sun Aug 17 2003 10:58 AM
Cape Verde Thoughts...	Kevin	Sat Aug 16 2003 09:23 PM
Re: Cape Verde Thoughts...	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 09:46 PM
Erika... i was a little off :)	Rich B	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:56 PM
Re: San Juan NWS discussion about atlantic wave and more	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 12:09 PM
erika verification, waves	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 16 2003 08:50 AM
Re: erika verification, waves	57497479	Sat Aug 16 2003 09:35 AM
Re: erika verification, waves	Steve H.	Sat Aug 16 2003 10:00 AM
They Must Be Getting Tired at the NHC...	clyde w.	Fri Aug 15 2003 11:00 PM
Re: Track	edpro	Fri Aug 15 2003 10:41 PM
T-Numbers	Rich B	Fri Aug 15 2003 03:54 PM
Re: (1) eye forming? too early to tell with certainty (2) vortex message	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 01:44 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:24 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Jamie-on-dabyu	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Thu Aug 14 2003 11:10 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Jamie-on-dabyu	Thu Aug 14 2003 11:47 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Shan	Fri Aug 15 2003 01:09 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Steve	Fri Aug 15 2003 07:58 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:49 AM
what to do with erika..	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 15 2003 10:43 AM
Re: what to do with erika..	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 15 2003 10:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Fri Aug 15 2003 02:04 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Thu Aug 14 2003 10:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 10:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Thu Aug 14 2003 11:07 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 11:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Fri Aug 15 2003 02:07 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 10:34 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Steve	Thu Aug 14 2003 11:18 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 15 2003 05:22 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	57497479	Fri Aug 15 2003 06:12 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 15 2003 05:32 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	57497479	Fri Aug 15 2003 06:11 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 15 2003 06:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	stormchazer	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:16 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Brad in Miami	Fri Aug 15 2003 07:18 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Jamie-on-dabyu	Fri Aug 15 2003 08:59 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	stormchazer	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:20 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	stormchazer	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:50 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 15 2003 08:46 PM
An Eye Forming?	recmod	Fri Aug 15 2003 08:59 PM
Re: An Eye Forming?	Lisa NC	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:14 PM
Re: An Eye Forming?	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 15 2003 09:08 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Rich B	Fri Aug 15 2003 06:49 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 10:41 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	stormchazer	Thu Aug 14 2003 09:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Alan	Thu Aug 14 2003 09:06 PM
Bouy reading	Robert	Thu Aug 14 2003 10:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	javlin	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika forms in the Gulf	Alex	Thu Aug 14 2003 08:17 PM

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