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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

weathernet
Storm Tracker

Reged:
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere

Re: 10 day GFS Forecast
Thu Jun 21 2012 03:40 AM

0Z Euro is now on board with deepening the Yucatan low, and more worrisome is that the depiction of the systems would appear to approach Cat.2 ( possibly stronger). Much still needs to happen including an outright stall for a couple days. Such is what I was concerned about. Reminds me a little of Hurricane Elena in '85. Trough was slowly lifting, & eventually gave way to an impressive ridge which in turn pushed Elena back westward.

I will be surprised if this disturbed area is not designated as "an Invest" by mid a.m. I think it prudent for all those between Tampa and Houston to keep abreast. Seems like nothing is going to happen all too fast however. I don't think this will approach the Cat. 3 intensity that Elena did, however this system would appear to me to have a conderably larger envelope thus having the potential to cause storm surge issues and flooding to a fairly large piece of real estate. Am kinda "feeling Gulfport" at the moment.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 03:40 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	Ed Dunham	Thu May 10 2012 11:56 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	scottsvb	Sun May 13 2012 01:31 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	M.A.	Tue Jun 12 2012 07:45 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 14 2012 01:04 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Thu Jun 14 2012 11:23 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Fri Jun 15 2012 11:53 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Mon Jun 18 2012 07:52 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Mon Jun 18 2012 12:02 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Wed Jun 20 2012 08:59 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Wed Jun 20 2012 02:40 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Thu Jun 21 2012 03:40 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 09:01 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:00 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:52 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	MichaelA	Thu Jun 21 2012 01:51 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 12:58 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Thu Jun 21 2012 01:41 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:17 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:43 PM
RECON Tomorrow	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:48 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	NPR16	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:47 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 08:18 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Wed Jun 20 2012 03:10 PM

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