F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 233 (Idalia) , Major: 233 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 233 (Idalia) Major: 233 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto
      Thu Aug 02 2012 09:35 PM

Ernesto remains a very disorganized tropical cyclone located about 110 miles east northeast of Barbados at 03/01Z moving to the west at 18 kts. AF RECON reported winds of 45 knots earlier today but given the structure of the system the winds could have been more convective rather than increasing cyclonic intensity. However, with the storm approaching Barbados and the Windward Islands, an upgrade to Tropical Storm status seems like a reasonable precaution.

The system is moving into an expanding region of westerly wind shear aloft that should limit any significant development for the next three days as Ernesto crosses the southern Caribbean Sea. I'd expect that Ernesto will probably be located between Jamaica and northeastern Honduras in about 5 days moving generally to the west northwest as the Atlantic ridge stays strong and extends westward. Intensity probably a little lower than the 70 knots currently reflected because of the windshear. SST is around 28C in the central Caribbean Sea. If the ridge weakens at that time, a more northwesterly movement could slowly develop. Ernesto will pass through the northern Windward Islands early on Friday and the following NHC Watches/Warning are currently in effect:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN

* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO PUNTA CASTILLA

ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Aug 05 2012 12:21 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort Thu Aug 02 2012 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort   Tue Aug 07 2012 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 02 2012 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2012 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 07 2012 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto berrywr   Tue Aug 07 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L Joeyfl   Wed Aug 01 2012 03:14 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 7250

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center