That run is really bad for me. It's still the southern outlier, so hopefully it shifts back north. For the Chesapeake, if the storm comes on the east/north side of the bay, it blows the water out of the bay. If the storm comes on the west/south side, it blows water into the bay. So the best option for minimizing flood damage is for the storm to stay to the east as long as possible, allowing the water level to lower from the prevailing winds and preventing substantial coastal flooding.
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