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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 233 (Idalia) , Major: 233 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 233 (Idalia) Major: 233 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge
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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge
      Wed Jul 10 2013 12:29 PM

I expected it to be gone, but...The TUTT is the main feature now influencing the progress of the system. It has been meandering westerly for days and that motion seems to be continuing and it is slow. The TUTT has generated a general cyclonic flow effecting from South Florida and almost all of the north western Carribean, and the system should follow an upper level trough that extends from SE Florida over eastern Cuba to the north west and north,,,The TUTT is generating westerly shear as the system moves to the west.
The persistence of a vortex in the face of several obstacles should be of concern, IMO, because if the system does slide NW to N and the effects of shear lessen and it then slows in forward motion, it could have a future if the vortex is not interdicted by interaction with land...
The current WV picture suggests the system could avoid a great deal of land interaction by passing through between Haiti and Cuba if the upper trough catches it...
We should not take our eyes off it...

--------------------
doug

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Chantal Lounge MikeCAdministrator Wed Jul 10 2013 12:29 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge RevUp   Sun Jul 07 2013 07:44 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 07 2013 11:10 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 08 2013 09:17 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MichaelA   Mon Jul 08 2013 11:42 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 08 2013 12:46 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 08 2013 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge doug   Mon Jul 08 2013 04:07 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 12:14 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge Random Chaos   Tue Jul 09 2013 05:34 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 07:07 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 07:36 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge Owlguin   Tue Jul 09 2013 11:12 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 02:10 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 02:25 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Jul 09 2013 07:41 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge doug   Wed Jul 10 2013 09:33 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 10 2013 10:53 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge mikethewreck   Wed Jul 10 2013 11:39 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge doug   Wed Jul 10 2013 12:29 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge mikethewreck   Thu Jul 11 2013 11:40 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jul 11 2013 11:51 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge JoshuaK   Thu Jul 11 2013 12:33 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge mikethewreck   Sat Jul 13 2013 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 13 2013 11:54 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge typhoon_tip   Sat Jul 06 2013 02:56 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2013 05:48 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2013 08:07 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MichaelA   Sun Jul 07 2013 09:12 AM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2013 12:26 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 07 2013 05:32 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2013 06:52 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 07 2013 07:04 PM
. * * Re: 95L (Central Atlantic Wave) Lounge ftlaudbob   Sat Jul 06 2013 01:44 PM

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