Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is mostly quiet now.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 282 (Nate) , Major: 300 (Maria) Florida - Any: 310 (Irma) Major: 310 (Irma)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3951
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge
      Thu Aug 21 2014 07:32 AM

Yet more changes for morning model runs, GFS now keeps the system out to sea once past the Caribbean. That has gone from near Houston TX to re-curving out to sea in two days. This is the reason why early model runs before a storm develops are only useful in the very very short term. Beyond 24-48 hours, it's not worth much.

If and when the system develops we should know more, but the trend of the Euro and GFS moving out to sea is a good sign, and is reducing the chances for a US impact. Still the trends and actual condition of the system must be monitored for a bit,. There is a good chance models will swing back again. Based on the current position, and the fact that it's moved north, it looks like the odds now currently favor it staying east of the US. But only slightly, this could swing again just like the models.





Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 21 2014 07:32 AM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:15 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:53 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 12:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 25 2014 03:33 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Aug 25 2014 04:08 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 05:37 AM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 07:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Aug 22 2014 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 07:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 09:58 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 20162

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center