Time for the afternoon swing west, CMC and HWRF have it making landfall in south Florida late Tuesday, and the GFS run, still out to sea and weak, has shifted west since earlier. It's important to note yesterday the CMC was showing a recurve, and today landfall in south Florida..
One thing to note about the 12Z GFS run is that it stalls out the system near the Bahamas for a bit, before kicking it up and out.
Trends... anyone's guess. Again, until something forms, expect the wild swings to continue. Slight favor still goes to the out to sea scenario,
In short, the odds still favor that 96L will pass east of the Bahamas and then out to sea. With the current look, it's unlikely it will make hurricane strength.
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