all the major models are now showing a recurve scenario, but with the caveat of the system STILL not being organized. The GFS was initialized south of Puerto Rico as well. The HRWF that was consistently showing a Florida landfall earlier is now in line with the other models on staying offshore. Euro has handled it the best, so far.
Chances are higher today that the system remains east of the US. Land interaction with Hispaniola is an issue now with a center relocation as well.
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