Quote: Recon seems to be finding the closest thing to a center in 96L in the Mona Passage between Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Models have initialized northeast of there, but the general trend out to sea is starting to slow down. The Euro and GFS, arguably the two better models, still move it out to sea. However others are backing off that again (UKmet for example). With the system disorganized as it is, with land interaction, still a lot to watch out for.
The time of year + the area it's in make it important to continue watching until a definite north/northeast movement starts. Right now it's heading due west, and quickly.
I see that twist, looks to be just N of Mona Passage, in this floater, but there also appears to be a companion circulation near that burst of convection north of the Dominican Republic. Am I seeing things?
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