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Advisories begin for #TD11 located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. Elsewhere watching #98L #99L and likely #90L High Odds
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Florence) , Major: 366 (Maria) Florida - Any: 376 (Irma) Major: 376 (Irma)
13.1N 53.4W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 6 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4057
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge
      Sat Aug 23 2014 12:11 AM

At 123 hours out it still is well east of Florida, good news, as it's not pushing landfall on this run, however the overall trend west did continue, so it may change (either way) again since the storm has not formed yet.



in the frames immediately after this it starts heading north northeast (slowly) even further away from the coast, and by 150 hours is heading out to sea. So nothing really changes tonight, weak wave prevented from organizing by land interaction, may or may not be picked up, but odds favor it staying out to sea. It slips by Bermuda to the west as well.

Worth continuing to be watched through the weekend. Those in the Bahamas need to keep close watch on this, as watches/warnings may go up relatively suddenly tomorrow.

Other 0z/18z interpolated early cycle guidance (so far) has an unusually large spread going from the eastern gulf all the way toward well east of Bermuda.




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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 23 2014 12:11 AM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:15 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:53 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 12:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 25 2014 03:33 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Aug 25 2014 04:08 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 05:37 AM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 07:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Aug 22 2014 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 07:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 09:58 AM

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