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Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge
      Sat Aug 23 2014 03:26 PM

I can't find a center on visible satellite but what I care about is that upper low sitting between SSE FL, Central Cuba and the Bahamas that is inducing 30 to 40 knots of shear around the envelope of the system. While it may look somewhat impressive on satellite there is a 200 millibar upper high directly over the system but you don't have to go far for there to be a hostile environment and subsidence induced by the upper low; there is no mention of this on NHC discussions in the Tropcial Weather Discussion or Outlook. The problem with a possible center south of Hispaniola is it's likely of surviving over the island and a center can form anywhere under that convection to the north and if it forms far enough to the north then it is likely that the current trough in the Western AO could pick it up otherwise it's going to be with us for awhile as a COL sets up camp and we wait for the next progressive shortwave to come along in day 4 day 5 timeframe. I'm not going to speculate where until that shear abates. Until that upper low on water vapor gets out the way; I have no idea where this center will form.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 23 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:15 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:53 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 12:34 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 25 2014 03:33 PM
. * * Re: TS Cristobal Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Aug 25 2014 04:08 PM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2014 05:37 AM
. * * Re: TD #4 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Aug 23 2014 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Sat Aug 23 2014 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 22 2014 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 07:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge craigm   Fri Aug 22 2014 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 22 2014 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Aug 22 2014 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2014 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 07:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2014 09:58 AM

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