I can't find a center on visible satellite but what I care about is that upper low sitting between SSE FL, Central Cuba and the Bahamas that is inducing 30 to 40 knots of shear around the envelope of the system. While it may look somewhat impressive on satellite there is a 200 millibar upper high directly over the system but you don't have to go far for there to be a hostile environment and subsidence induced by the upper low; there is no mention of this on NHC discussions in the Tropcial Weather Discussion or Outlook. The problem with a possible center south of Hispaniola is it's likely of surviving over the island and a center can form anywhere under that convection to the north and if it forms far enough to the north then it is likely that the current trough in the Western AO could pick it up otherwise it's going to be with us for awhile as a COL sets up camp and we wait for the next progressive shortwave to come along in day 4 day 5 timeframe. I'm not going to speculate where until that shear abates. Until that upper low on water vapor gets out the way; I have no idea where this center will form.
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