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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 232 (Idalia) , Major: 232 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 232 (Idalia) Major: 232 (Idalia)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm
      Sat Jun 17 2017 06:05 PM

The 18Z model runs are in,

18Z GFS rips some energy off the larger system and spews it off to the north, with a lot of rain on the eastern side, going over Florida, the strongest part of the energy winds up near Panama City Beach on Thursday evening. With the center detaching and remaining a bit over the Gulf of Mexico. The Panhandle and Northern Florida get the majority of the rain. The disorganized center eventually makes it over the Panhandle late on Wednesday.

The GFS Para takes the system and gets it going in the Eastern Gulf with rain across all of Florida and forms a tight center which becomes a hurricane, landfalling near Panama City Beach on Tuesday evening. Then races through Georgia and South Carolina. Another low develops in the Bay of Campeche and winds up just south of TX/Mexico border on Thursday/Friday.

The 12Z Euro shifts the system west, with a possible Depression/TS just south of the TX/Mexico border on Thursday. This is a slight shift north from earlier Euro runs.

Although the Euro is the more likely scenario, we can't discount the idea that a system shoots off and forms like the GFS models suggest.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS CINDY Lounge cieldumortModerator Sat Jun 17 2017 06:05 PM
. * * Re: THREE (93L) Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Jun 20 2017 06:08 AM
. * * Re: THREE (93L) Lounge Storm Cooper   Tue Jun 20 2017 07:46 AM
. * * Re: THREE (93L) Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jun 21 2017 10:33 AM
. * * Re: THREE (93L) Lounge doug   Wed Jun 21 2017 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm Kraig   Sun Jun 11 2017 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm doug   Mon Jun 12 2017 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm Storm Cooper   Mon Jun 12 2017 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 13 2017 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 13 2017 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2017 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2017 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 16 2017 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm doug   Fri Jun 16 2017 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 16 2017 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm Storm Cooper   Fri Jun 16 2017 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 17 2017 06:15 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 17 2017 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 17 2017 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 17 2017 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 17 2017 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 18 2017 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 18 2017 03:48 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 18 2017 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 18 2017 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 19 2017 07:21 AM
. * * Re: Models Mid-June W. ATL Storm doug   Mon Jun 19 2017 12:28 PM

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