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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 16 (Nate) , Major: 34 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1632
Loc: Austin, Tx
FLORIDA Invest
      Wed Aug 09 2017 10:33 AM



A mid to upper level spin that is tracking wnw well ahead of Invest 99L has been increasingly working its way to the surface along an associated trof, and is in a somewhat favored region for genesis. This feature has been boasting more convection today, and in fact, now appears slightly more subtropical than not in the most recent visible satellite images as of this entry (Aug 9 10:30 AM EDT).

This spin does not yet have an Invest number, but may possibly get tagged with one later today. This disturbance looks to enhance rain across south Florida, and was recently responsible for flooding in the Virgin Islands. However, northerly shear and nearby dry air are not conducive for significant development.

Given this feature's close proximity to the state, improved appearance on satellite this morning, and history of producing flooding rain, a Lounge has been opened. This is where to place informed opinions and best guesses on its chances, if any, of development, or of its potential for more impacts in general.

Awaiting an Invest number (most likely 90L) and the title has been updated accordingly
-Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Aug 11 2017 11:01 AM)

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* FLORIDA Invest cieldumortModerator Wed Aug 09 2017 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Trof east of Florida cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 10 2017 01:16 PM

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