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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

vpbob21
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 107
Loc: Ohio
Re: General 2017 Model Watching
      Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM

Strong model support for the wave behind 91L over the African continent. NHC already giving this 5-day chances for development at 20%, pretty impressive for a wave still about 2 days from leaving the coast.

12Z Euro is furthest north, moving it well north of the Leewards and then approaching Bermuda as a hurricane at the end of its run on 8/24.

18Z GFS moves it across the Atlantic into the Lesser Antilles near Guadeloupe on 8/22, strengthening quickly over the NE Carib until it runs into Hispaniola on 8/24, moves pretty much over the length of Cuba but emerges over water late 8/25 then moves north over Florida on 8/26 and 8/27.

With 91L, 92L, future 93L and more waves behind over Africa, we should have a lot to track over the next couple weeks.

Edited by vpbob21 (Tue Aug 15 2017 01:55 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:27 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Wed Aug 23 2017 04:22 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 10 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 03 2017 01:49 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 27 2017 05:44 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 28 2017 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 30 2017 07:08 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 06 2017 01:14 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching M.A.   Mon Jul 31 2017 06:09 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 02 2017 02:29 PM

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