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News Talkback >> 2017 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3862
Loc: Orlando, FL
Harvey Makes Landfall at Cat 4
      Tue Aug 22 2017 11:39 PM

11:00PM CDT 25 August 2017 Update
Eye of Category 4 Harvey makes landfall between port aransas and Port O'Connor, TX. Early damage reports in Rockport, TX are extreme, an widespread. The eye is still slowly moving onshore, and the storm hasn't weakened yet.

Harvey's landfall on the Texas coast was over the northern end of San Jose Island about 4 miles east of Rockport.



6:00PM CDT 25 August 2017 Update

Recon has confirmed Category 4 winds in Harvey mere hours from landfall in the Middle Texas Coastline.



2:00PM CDT 25 August 2017 Update
Recon has found 120mph winds and a pressure of 943mb, making Harvey a major hurricane.

6:30AM CDT 25 August 2017 Update
Once landfall happens some models have it sitting inland near the coast until Monday, with potentially a second Texas landfall later in the week further north.

Recon continues to show pressure dropping, 946mb as of the latest pass. 951 with the latest dropsonde.

Those in the path of Harvey should have made preparations or evacuated if necessary yesterday. Those in the area check local national weather service and Media for more information for your particular area. There is a list of media on the main page of flhurricane.com below



12:30AM CDT 25 August 2017 Update
Recon has found that the more gradual lowering of barometric pressure and leveling off of wind that Harvey experienced yesterday may have come to an end, and the hurricane could be entering a new round of Rapid Intensification tonight.

Harvey remains forecast to become a high-end Cat 3 before landfall, but implicit in this is the possibility of Cat 4 between advisory times. Regardless of Category, it is very likely that Harvey will be a catastrophic hurricane on many levels, not the least of which will be the potential to produce biblical inland flooding over an extended duration, and possibly over extensive areas.

Efforts to protect life, loved ones and property along the coast and just inland should now be getting rushed to completion. Anyone who elects to stay behind may be unreachable by emergency services, and left to fend for themselves in what could very easily become nightmarish life-threatening conditions.
-Ciel

4:00PM CDT 24 August 2017 Update

Harvey still strengthening, and the Hurricane Warning has been extended northeast of Matagorda to Sargent Texas.

10:00AM CDT 24 August 2017 Update
Per NHC:

Harvey has intensified quickly this morning, and is now forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall, bringing life-threatening storm surge, rainfall, and wind hazards to portions of the Texas coast
.
Preparations to protect life and property should be completed by tonight, as tropical-storm-force winds will first arrive in the
hurricane and storm surge warning areas on Friday.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for much of the Texas coast. Life-threatening storm surge flooding could reach heights of 6 to 10 feet above ground level at the coast between the north entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore and Sargent.

Life-threatening flooding is expected across much of the Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 12 to 20 inches, with isolated amounts as high as 30 inches, from Friday through early next week. Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information on the flooding hazard.

8:45AM CDT 24 August 2017 Update
Aircraft recon found 984 pressure, and a 16 nautical mile wide closed eye in Harvey. It's deepening quickly and winds will increase shortly after. Expect a hurricane today, and possibly a major hurricane at landfall.

Times will generally be in Central time because of the location of Harvey.

6:45AM CDT 24 August 2017 Update
Recon measured a 985mb pressure in Harvey which indicates a Hurricane, it seems to be going under rapid intensification now, which means Harvey will likely become a major before landfall. Those in the hurricane warning area should rush preparations now, and listen to local officials/media for local details.

6:30AM CDT 24 August 2017 Update
Harvey has strengthened slightly overnight and Recon has found potentially stronger winds that indicate Harvey could strengthen more today, possibly a hurricane later tonight or tomorrow. With that in mind, some new warnings have been issued:

Storm surge will likely be an issue in parts of the Texas coastline, therefore a Storm Surge Warning has been issued for the Texas coast from Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass.

Additionally a Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Port Mansfield south to
the Mouth of the Rio Grande.

A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the Texas coast from Port
Mansfield to Matagorda.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Matagorda
to High Island Texas

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch has been issued from
south of Port Mansfield to the Mouth of the Rio Grande.

10AM CDT 23 August 2017 Update
Based on Recon, harvey has regenerated in the Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Depression. The official forecast takes Harvey in as a Hurricane near Madagorda Midday on Friday.

Because of this,

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from Port Mansfield to High Island, which includes Corpus Christi.

North fo that, a A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from north of Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass. (just south of Houston)

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from the Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield and from north of San Luis Pass to High Island.

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the coast of Mexico from Boca De Catan to the Mouth of the Rio Grande.

Harvey is expected to slowly move into Texas, bringing extended periods of surge and wind, and extreme amounts of rainfall, starting tomorrow morning into Midday. If you are in the warning area make preparations now, and be prepared to be under bad conditions for a while as it is expected for Harvey to stall out and possibly move back into the Gulf. If you are in the warning area time to look to local media and officials for more pertinent information.

Conditions are right so that it is a good possibility that Harvey becomes a Major hurricane before landfall, category 3 or higher. So please please take this seriously if you live in the hurricane warning area.

edit: Recon found 985mb, which is enough for hurricane strength.

10AM CDT 23 August 2017 Update
Harvey is expected to slowly increase in strength at first, but increase more rapidly as it approaches the coastline, the forecast takes it in slowly and Harvey could wind up being a major flooding events for parts of Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The National hurricane center calls out the fact this first forecast may change once motion and trends have established, so everyone in the watch area should be watching this system, and preparing. It is expected be an intensifying hurricane at landfall, and may do so quickly once near land.

Things may change rapidly with Harvey, so keep watch closely if you are in the watch/warning area and listen to local officials and media for the best information for your particular area.

Mark Sudduth from Hurricanetrack.com is on his way to Texas for Harvey, follow him at www.hurricanetrack.com


Original Update
The remnants of Harvey are very likely to regenerate in the Gulf, in fact the National Hurricane Center gives it a near 100% chance for development within the next 48 hours.



Those in northeastern Mexico to Louisiana should continue to monitor its progress as it could develop. Some models forecast it may landfall briefly then re-emerge into the Gulf, so those along the Gulf should monitor it even beyond the first landfall point. A strong Tropical storm or cat 1/2 hurricane is possible with the remnants of Harvey. if forward motion slows before landfall it could increase more than expected. Others suggest a single landfall, but slow moving, causing large amounts of rainfall,which ultimately may be Harvey's claim to fame.

Harvey's remnants have moved offshore and signs of an organized center are already occurring.

More information on Harvey remnants will come soon.

92L is currently a trough partially over Florida, but most of the rain is actually southwest of Florida this evening, it is not expected to develop into much, but could move back over Florida and develop in the Atlantic before heading out to sea, Worth Monitoring just in case something happens.

{{StormLinks|Harvey|09|9|2017|09|Harvey}}

{{StormLinks|92L|92|10|2017|92|92L (FL/Bahamas Low)}}

{{HoustonStormEventLinks}}

Harvey Related flhurricane recordings

{{TexasGulfRadar}}

{{EastFloridaRadar}}

{{NorthGulfRadar}}

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Harvey Makes Landfall at Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 22 2017 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Sat Aug 26 2017 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Now a Major Hurricane cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning BloodstarModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas BloodstarModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Myles   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:55 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:12 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:19 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf Psyber   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 07:50 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf Nick Humphrey   Wed Aug 23 2017 02:30 AM

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