Storm Surge is currently being forecast at 8 feet to 12 feet. By NHC. Depending on the location and slope of the coastal shelf and beachfront.
Mainly dependent upon minimum central pressure (MCP) of the storm. Other factors are Moon Phases with Full Moon and New Moon having larger tides. The tides are Outside of the calculation, In other words. Landfall at High tide under a New Moon or Full Moon will add roughly 1-2 feet to the Surge. Not including the Storm Waves.
Rough quick estimation formula. 1000mb - minus current MCP 977 divided by 4 equals current minimum surge.
1000-977=23/4 equals a minimum 5.75 foot surge with out Tide or waves.
If you are under a Surge Watch or Warning Heed NHC advisories and Get Out NOW while you can before the Roads become Clogged.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 13928
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center