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Archives 2010s >> 2017 News Talkbacks

danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3504
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf
      Thu Aug 24 2017 04:53 PM

Storm Surge is currently being forecast at 8 feet to 12 feet. By NHC. Depending on the location and slope of the coastal shelf and beachfront.

Mainly dependent upon minimum central pressure (MCP) of the storm. Other factors are Moon Phases with Full Moon and New Moon having larger tides.
The tides are Outside of the calculation,
In other words. Landfall at High tide under a New Moon or Full Moon will add roughly 1-2 feet to the Surge. Not including the Storm Waves.

Rough quick estimation formula.
1000mb - minus current MCP 977 divided by 4 equals current minimum surge.

1000-977=23/4 equals a minimum 5.75 foot surge with out Tide or waves.

If you are under a Surge Watch or Warning Heed NHC advisories and Get Out NOW while you can before the Roads become Clogged.

Edited by danielw (Thu Aug 24 2017 04:54 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Harvey Makes Landfall at Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 24 2017 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Sat Aug 26 2017 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2017 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Psyber   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Now a Major Hurricane cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning BloodstarModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas BloodstarModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Nearly a Major Hurricane This Morning MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas Myles   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:55 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas ERA   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:12 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 25 2017 01:19 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf Psyber   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthening and Approaching Texas cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 07:50 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 24 2017 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Harvey Regenerates for Gulf Watches/Warnings up for Western Gulf cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Harvey Likely to Regenerate in the Gulf Nick Humphrey   Wed Aug 23 2017 02:30 AM

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