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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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News Talkback >> 2017 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1153
Loc: fl
Re: Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave
      Mon Sep 04 2017 11:44 AM

Irma will most likely move into the GOM as the trend continues... we will have a decent idea by the 00z runs tonight with the additional data (but that usually doesn't change things to much). Couple questions in the near term is who gets a direct hit in the Lessar Antilles... St Maarten, Tortola, Antigua and St Thomas look to have a direct path impact.. and NE PR near San Juan and to its east.. then Turks. Question by Thurs will this hit Cuba on Friday or stay just north of it. Too early to speculate that far even with the models since today is Monday.. but again each day will give us a better idea. GOM chance seem realistic.. we have seen this many times where the models shift west on a more westward moving system before a turn to the north in days 5-7. I know we don't guess here,(especially after 5 days) but I would give the GOM a 50% Florida 30% and east of Florida 20% out of 100% as of right now.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 04 2017 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave scottsvb   Mon Sep 04 2017 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 04 2017 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 04 2017 08:58 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 04 2017 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic Psyber   Sun Sep 03 2017 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 03 2017 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic M.A.   Fri Sep 01 2017 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic Random Chaos   Thu Aug 31 2017 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 31 2017 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 31 2017 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 31 2017 10:29 AM

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