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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Nate) , Major: 33 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3884
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 96L Lounge
      Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM

0z gfs and euro take Maria over Puerto Rico and the Euro takes it close, but not over the Turks and Caicos, before turning it out to sea. Closest approach to the US is on Wednesday the 27th, but both models keep it well east of the US for now.

Models are generally in good agreement out to 5 days or so, so it is very likely this one stays away from the continental US. We'll keep monitoring it for that, though, particularly for the trends (Mid Atlantic/NE would have highest risk, Florida is extremely unlikely) With the strong trof approaching the east coast next week, it's fairly safe bet this won't directly affect the continental US. Large Surf/swells will continue to be a problem though, Jose is already causing that.

Puerto Rico/VI impacts would be Tomorrow and Thursday. The 6z GFS takes it over St Croix Wednesday early morning, then eastern Puerto Rico later that day.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE Maria Lounge cieldumortModerator Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 18 2017 08:17 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge doug   Mon Sep 18 2017 11:13 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge Reaper   Mon Sep 18 2017 01:21 PM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge scottsvb   Mon Sep 18 2017 01:52 PM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge Steve C   Tue Sep 19 2017 12:05 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 19 2017 12:13 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge vpbob21   Sun Sep 17 2017 11:23 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 04:59 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 08:20 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Sep 15 2017 09:45 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 12:10 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Keith B   Sun Sep 17 2017 05:30 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge TPuppy   Sun Sep 17 2017 08:49 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Biff83   Sun Sep 17 2017 09:56 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Reaper   Sun Sep 17 2017 10:00 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge doug   Fri Sep 15 2017 04:40 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 02:33 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 16 2017 12:54 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 16 2017 08:57 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 16 2017 11:52 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 16 2017 05:59 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 17 2017 04:40 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge M.A.   Tue Sep 19 2017 08:33 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge doug   Tue Sep 19 2017 02:47 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Steve C   Tue Sep 19 2017 05:07 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge TPuppy   Tue Sep 19 2017 08:53 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Kraig   Tue Sep 19 2017 11:29 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 20 2017 10:53 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 21 2017 09:33 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 22 2017 05:25 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Sep 22 2017 07:29 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge B.C.Francis   Sun Sep 17 2017 11:42 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge doug   Sun Sep 17 2017 01:01 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge Keith B   Sat Sep 16 2017 10:57 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge doug   Sat Sep 16 2017 08:15 AM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge BloodstarModerator   Fri Sep 15 2017 04:06 PM
. * * Re: 96L Lounge B.C.Francis   Fri Sep 15 2017 05:34 PM

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