He did nudge his 'hit window' a bit further south this morning:
"This storm remains on its path of 335. Out of respect for TPC and the fact that we are within 36 hours of landfall, I am moving my "hit window" south to the area from Cape Lookout to Cape Henry, VA. In other words, I think the eye will make landfall in this area. It is very tricky as a delay of several hours on the turn to 315 degrees from the 335 means it misses Hatteras just east, and then runs the Chesapeake Bay. The northern part of this window is still in the southern part of the old one. But, with the storm so massive, focusing on the exact point of landfall will strictly be for bragging rights. The track of the Eurga is in near Hatteras to midway between DC and Richmond and then north. AccuWeather.com forecasts are describing in your outlets the effect of such a path. Landfall should be made around Hatteras between noon and 3. Until it gets on the 315-degree path, though, the storm is currently on the track toward the mouth of the Chesapeake. Errors over the 2-day forecast on the model have been a westward bias of about 60 miles. TPC skill scores have been great overall. "
Joe also had a caution for the SE next week with the pattern (trof digging in possibly slightly west of 90), African wave on the scene (2+2+?=?)
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