Hurricane Ivan is leaving the Cayman Islands, but now still heading West Northwest toward the Yucatan Channel. It hasn't turned yet. Mexico has put up Tropical Storm Watches for the Yucatan.
Ivan is expect to turn north and then venture into the Gulf when steering currents may weaken, adding to the unknown future of the forecast track. The National Hurricane Center expect it to weaken some once it arrives in the gulf, which is some good news, but still remain a major hurricane at landfall.
Low confidence track, do not plan based on this, errors may be 300+ miiles off.
Currently it's category 4, but with concentric eyewalls, one about 40nm wide and another 15nm wide. This indicates it probably will regain category 5 again tonight.
Bottom line, as far as the US is concerned, we still aren't sure where. The entire Gulf coast needs to watch this, with special interest in the Panhandle of Florida. Things may change.... Stay tuned. Surprises still to come. I must say I do think heading westward to Louisiana, etc is very unlikely.
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