Well, it's time to post my thoughts, I guess. I saw the latest visible satellite shots, and it is definitely building more convection near the center. Since no one has accurately predicted what this girl will do, why not expect the worst?.. If she stays out there long enough, a hurricane, even a moderate cat 2 or worse, could appear. No one has mentioned whether there is a nice ridge above, or good outflow, etc. What do you all think? I have watched enough of these since 79 to know strengthening beyong current guesses is quite possible. As far as movement......I agree that when they stall...it generally means there is a shift in the upper steering currents...which puts anywhere north of here at risk.
I might as well throw out a prediction....I think it will grow to a CAT 2 or better, and of course...hit Mobile....but that's only cause it will make for an exciting evening and morning....oh, and landfall will be tomorrow around 12 midnight....if it stays out longer than that...then it could be a real juicy one.....
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