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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Bahamas Tropical Wave and Tropical Depression Stan
      Tue Oct 04 2005 07:41 AM

5:30AM
Tropical Storm Stan was downgraded to Tropical Depression at 03Z (11PM EDT) last night. 2 AM EDT Trop. Wx Discussion indicating the remnants of Stan are moving SW over the Mexican Stae of Oaxaca (Wa-ha-ca). Remnants are forecast to move into the E. Pacific.
92L-Bahama's tropical wave, centered just N of Andros Island, Bahamas, or 26N/ 79W at 2 AM EDT.
At that time 'the broad area of low pressure did not appear to have a closed circulation...however it was producing Gale Force winds off the NE Coast of Florida.' "This system has the potential for tropical development over the next 24 to 36 hours".from the TWDiscussion.
Floridians and interests in and near the NE GOM should pay close attention to this wave. A mid-upper level Low exists in the NE GOM at this time and Dr Lyons, of the Weather Channel, said that conditions could bring the upper Low and the tropical wave together.

6:30PM
Hurricane Stan has made landfall along the southern gulf coast, west of the Yucatan in Mexico.

92L Continues to remain disorganized, but it has been sending windy storms our way in Central Florida. The chance for development remains very low. But it will send stormy and rainy conditions across Florida.


Original Update
Hurricane Stan has strengthened quite a bit, and its motion has been quicker than anticpated. It is heading for the southern coast of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche. An unusual track for a hurricane, but still occurring none the less.

It has a chance to become a category 2 before landfall, as it has been developing very quickly overnight.
As it approaches land it will quickly run into the mountains in that part of Mexico and dissipate, causing a huge rain event. People in the coastal areas there must prepare quickly as Stan is a strengthening hurricane.



The wave over the Bahamas is moving gradually westward, and it may not develop before it reaches Florida. Much of the clouds and convection are east of the center, and it doesn't have all that much time to develop.
We'll be watching it however. It will likely be a rain event over central and south Florida, but there remains some question on if it will develop further.

Event Related Links
Mexican Radar

Florida Keys Long Range Radar Loop
Miami, FL Long Range Radar
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar

Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University


StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Miami, Key West, Melbourne

TS Stan

Animated model plot of TS Stan

92L

Animated model plot of 92L

Edited by danielw (Wed Oct 05 2005 05:37 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bahamas Tropical Wave and Tropical Depression Stan MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 04 2005 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:37 AM
. * * 92L maintains and Stan moves toward the E. Pacific danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:00 AM
. * * Looks Like We Might Have Tammy recmod   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:52 AM
. * * Severe Weather Possible danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:34 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:01 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:21 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible jlauderdal   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Ed in Va   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Beach   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:33 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Lsr1166   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hootowl   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Beaumont, TX   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave hurricane expert   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Wxwatcher2   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Tropics Guy   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Steve H1   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:30 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up ralphfl   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Random Chaos   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Big Kahuna   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Brown Brown   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:08 PM
. * * WS ETA CoalCracker   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:10 PM
. * * 8pm obs HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:24 PM
. * * Re: 8pm obs emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up jusforsean   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:57 PM
. * * latest TWO Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: latest TWO Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HURRICANELONNY   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:04 PM
. * * The odd chance event Bloodstar   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Clark   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Scrappy   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Lee-Delray   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave tpratch   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Katrina zmdz01   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:23 AM

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