The 00Z GFS is coming in about the same as the previous two runs, with Wilma making landfall south of Cozumel around 18Z tomorrow and then sitting over the Yucatan through at least 48 hours (I have only seen the output out to 48 hours so far).
The shortwave nearing the Ohio Valley that is currently steering Wilma to the NW has about reached Wilma's longitude, so its influence should be ebbing within the next few hours. After that, Wilma will probably slow down even more, and that is when the models decide to drift it to the west. The current motion is somewhat more to the N than the models had been suggesting, but not by a whole lot. The westward movement was shown in the models to commence later tonight and we are about to see if that is going to materialize.
Edited by Thunderbird12 (Thu Oct 20 2005 11:56 PM)
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