Last night it was mentioned that Chris could fluctuate wildly, up or down since it was a small storm, and it did so downward overnight in a drastic fashion.
The storm's convection split off and headed a bit southwest, while the center of circulation kept moving west, causing the storm to weaken dramatically overnight back to almost depression state.
This is good news in a lot of ways, it keeps the system further south, lowering the chances for affects in Florida to near nothing (although it keeps the Caribbean Islands, including Cuba more under the gun. The forecast now keeps it as a Tropical Storm, but it even may fall apart totally. The shear around the system decreases as it heads west.
The best news would be the system would disipate and bother no one, but it still must be watched for a while. If it does cross the islands it has even more of a chance to fall apart. But the east coast of Florida seems, for now, much less likely to be in the picture.
Again, the official forecast keeps Chris as a tropical storm, so it is still worth watching until is passes to the south. It is likely that chris could fall apart completely, but it still has the chance to refire. We'll be watching closely for that today.
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Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens
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