HUH?!? I Have to agree to disagree with the 5:30 AM Outlook a bit. Disorganized? Gotta question that one. Looks about as good as Alberto and Ernesto to me. Development not expected...I was very surprised to read that. If t-storms persist a few more hours, maybe they will issue a Special Disturbance Statement before the 11:30 Tropical Weather Outlook. That would not be beyond neccessity if the convection continues with this feature. However, I'm kinda surprised that this feature did not get a little more credit for it's organization at this time.
Attached is a photo as of 5:31 AM to back the claim.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EST THU NOV 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED HERE OR ELSEWHERE THROUGH FRIDAY.
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