11:30PM Update See Clark's blog below for more information about this system. Original Update Tomorrow is the start of the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and we are still watching an area in the Western Caribbean. Now being tracked as Invest 92L. It at least may bring rain to the Florida Peninsula later.
We'll be watching this as a possible opener for the new season. Some models have been predicting more than what we actually wound up with today, but still convection has flared up overnight. If this persists we may be tracking something soon. Florida potentially could get too much rain (well too much in a short period of time) depending on where the system winds up. But by the time it gets to Florida, the forward motion should be quicker, thus reducing the flash flood potential.
Model links at the bottom of the main page can give you an idea what is projected.
It is most likely going to remain a rain event, however, as the upper air environment isn't all that hot for development.. Also the stacking needed is just not there But still the chance for some tropical (or subtropical) development is there, it will need to be watched for persistence.
Hurricane Hunter Aircraft have been scheduled to check out this system tomorrow, if needed.
The east pacific already has Barbara, will the Atlantic catch up with another early storm? It may not wind up being purely tropical.
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