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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models
      Wed Aug 15 2007 09:14 AM

Quote:

There's only one way to describe model tracks beyond 120 hours...dartboard.

There is virtually no skill in predicting where this storm could end up in 7-9. In fact, the exact location of any possible Lesser Antilles landfall is very much up in the air.




Actually, I think "roulette wheel" would also describe it. *LOL*

No one should get hung up on the models. Dean is the storm "opening" the worst of the season and should be the reminder to everyone to be prepared. Once the NHC starts narrowing the path closer to landfall, then people can start to worry. But everyone in the meanwhile should be prepared.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Those Whimsical Long Range Models MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 15 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models saluki   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 13 2007 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:23 AM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models twizted sizter   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models Kevin   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models madmumbler   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Those Whimsical Long Range Models Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:22 PM

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