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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
For October Its Busy Out There
      Wed Oct 03 2007 11:14 PM

Thursday 10/11 Update -- 4:30pm ET
The National Hurricane Center has designated the unsettled area southeast of Bermuda as the season's 15th tropical depression. It is expected to move generally toward the north and east over the next several days before being absorbed by a frontal boundary. On the whole, the basin remains full of convection but low in terms of organized features.

Update - Friday, 10/05, 11:30PM EDST
Invest 90L moved inland over east Texas earlier today and Invest 92L has been dropped. Invest 91L located at 12.7N 48.9W at 06/00Z. 91L has been stationary for the past 12 hours and remains very disorganized under westerly shear. 14L, the remnants of Melissa, barely recognizable at 24.6N 53.5W at 06/00Z.

Newly identified Invest 93L located at 20.5N 67.5W at 06/00Z has some chance for slow additional development. Movement probably to the west northwest or northwest.

The former 92L is now an elongated trough of low pressure that should rapidly transition to the eastern Gulf tonight, but any development chance is pretty slim.
ED

Original Post
No tropical cyclones in the basin - but lots of potential areas of interest. The remains of Melissa (14L) were located at 21.6N 48.6W at 04/00Z with winds of 30knots. Convection keeps firing, primarily to the north of the circulation center, and some minimal intensification is possible. The system is currently moving to the west northwest at 14 knots.

Invest 90L located in the northern Gulf of Mexico near 26.8N 87.8W at 04/00Z with winds of 25 knots. System has not developed today and at times convection has been on the wane. Current movement is to the northwest at 8 knots. Modest shear and proximity to the Louisiana coast should limit further development - but it still needs to be monitored.

Invest 91L well to the east of the Windward Islands near 9.6N 42.0W at 04/00Z with winds near 25 knots and movement to the west at 12 knots. System is still not well organized, however, some slow development is possible over the next couple of days.

Finally, Invest 92L is east of the central Bahamas. The center has been relocating to the southeast over the past 4 or 5 hours and a weak low level circulation may be starting to develop near 24.6N 71.5W at 04/02Z. Sustained winds probably near 25 knots as convection fires primarily to the east and south of the center. Again, slow development is possible, but with the constant shift in center location, a future track is not easily determined. This one is truly a wait-and-see system. So we will.
ED

Southeast Composite Radar
{{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}}
{{radarlink|byx|Key West, FL}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne, FL}}
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|99L|99|16|2007|2|99L (Gulf Wave)}}

Edited by MikeC (Tue Oct 16 2007 11:31 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* For October Its Busy Out There Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Oct 03 2007 11:14 PM
. * * re: 99L Inland & ehancing severe weather threat today cieldumort   Wed Oct 17 2007 01:46 PM
. * * Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 17 2007 11:59 AM
. * * Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 17 2007 11:29 AM
. * * GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized cieldumort   Tue Oct 16 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Over Night Surprise?? cieldumort   Tue Oct 16 2007 03:50 AM
. * * Over Night Surprise?? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 16 2007 12:19 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 14 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sun Oct 14 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Fri Oct 12 2007 03:48 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 06:07 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Lee-Delray   Thu Oct 11 2007 05:41 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Rabbit   Thu Oct 11 2007 10:32 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Wed Oct 10 2007 04:45 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Brett Addison   Wed Oct 10 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 07 2007 01:16 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sun Oct 07 2007 08:46 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 07 2007 03:49 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Clark   Sat Oct 06 2007 11:24 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sat Oct 06 2007 05:35 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sat Oct 06 2007 05:11 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sat Oct 06 2007 03:44 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sat Oct 06 2007 08:41 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There craigm   Sat Oct 06 2007 08:12 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Hugh   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:25 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Old Sailor   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:16 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Beaumont, TX   Fri Oct 05 2007 07:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Fri Oct 05 2007 06:36 PM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Fri Oct 05 2007 06:25 PM
. * * area north of peurto rico punkyg   Fri Oct 05 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L craigm   Fri Oct 05 2007 03:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Fri Oct 05 2007 11:53 AM
. * * Re: 92L tekkrite   Fri Oct 05 2007 11:52 AM
. * * Re: 92L saluki   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lee-Delray   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
. * * Re: 92L madmumbler   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:05 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Beaumont, TX   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:01 AM
. * * Re: 92L HURRICANELONNY   Fri Oct 05 2007 07:56 AM
. * * Re: 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 05 2007 01:09 AM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Thu Oct 04 2007 10:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Thu Oct 04 2007 09:44 PM
. * * Re: 92L Old Sailor   Thu Oct 04 2007 07:15 PM
. * * Re: 92L Rasvar   Thu Oct 04 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: 92L allan   Thu Oct 04 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Thu Oct 04 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L cchsweatherman   Thu Oct 04 2007 12:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lamar-Plant City   Thu Oct 04 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: 92L Artemis   Thu Oct 04 2007 10:48 AM
. * * 92L ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 04 2007 08:21 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There neospaceblue   Thu Oct 04 2007 08:18 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There weathernet   Thu Oct 04 2007 03:22 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 04 2007 01:44 AM

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