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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2008 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL
Still Quiet in the Tropics
      Fri Jun 20 2008 07:53 PM

It's getting into the latter portion of June, and the usual pattern of a few waves and clouds moving across the Atlantic, but quickly disorganizing is occurring.

Enjoy the quiet time of June, because in August and September, the peak will occur, and there will be much more activity to keep watch. July is when to begin in Ernest looking at waves that could actually form into something threatening, but usually it does not.

The east Pacific is also pretty quiet right now, and none of the reliable forecasting models are predicting anything for the next week or so. In comparing the other June months since we started watching the tropics closely, this June has been pretty average so far.

Starting in July the atmospheric flows usually start to become slowly more favorable.

In Hurricane History, Florida has been relatively lucky (prior to 2004) with major hurricanes, but there was a 25 year period where a major hit on Florida happened approximately every other year. (1944-69)

Since 1969 until 2004, there have been about 3 major canes to make true landfall in Florida, one of those was Andrew. Quite a difference.

It's a bit early to say if we have entered into another such period, but in 2004 with Charley, Frances, Jeanne, and Ivan, and more recently Wilma, we could be off to another long term period of higher and more dangerous activity.

Major Hurricanes to landfall in Florda in the 1944-1969 Period:


Major Hurricanes since 1900 to landfall in Florida:


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Still Quiet in the Tropics MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 20 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L- July 1 Steve H1   Tue Jul 01 2008 02:15 PM
. * * Invest 92L- July 1 danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2008 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics tropics   Tue Jul 01 2008 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2008 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 30 2008 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics LoisCane   Mon Jun 30 2008 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics rmbjoe1954   Mon Jun 30 2008 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics allan   Mon Jun 30 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics DarleneCane   Sat Jun 28 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Sat Jun 28 2008 03:59 AM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Thu Jun 26 2008 01:38 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 25 2008 12:43 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Tue Jun 24 2008 09:06 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs islandtime   Tue Jun 24 2008 04:39 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs lawgator1   Tue Jun 24 2008 03:20 PM
. * * GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Beach   Mon Jun 23 2008 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Mon Jun 23 2008 03:56 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics dem05   Mon Jun 23 2008 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Bay of Campeche Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Hurricane29   Sun Jun 22 2008 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 21 2008 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 21 2008 01:07 PM

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