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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

berrywr
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development
Thu Aug 12 2010 02:48 PM

Okay...we know it's been a bust up to now...TUTT and TUTT lows everywhere again this year and like last year more fizzle than bang. Took a look at models and discussions and a cold front...a dry front for we southerners is expected to drop in for the weekend and set up either along the GOM coast or slightly south where both the GFS and ECMWF have a low expected to develop along the front. Current thinking is the GFS is way overblown and the ECMWF has a weak low which mets favor. There is considerable dry Saharan air affecting a good chunk of the Atlantic Ocean and a deep upper low over the Central Atlantic with extending trough southwest in a curve all the way back through the Caribbean and stops near Yucatan...Shear analysis - 30 to 40 knot gradient winds from the GOM extending NE along the Atlantic coast; upper ridge over the Eastern US.

Patience..Patience...Patience...

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development	berrywr	Thu Aug 12 2010 02:48 PM
Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development	WesnWylie	Fri Aug 13 2010 12:22 PM
Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development	danielw	Sat Aug 14 2010 05:02 PM
Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development	lonelymike	Thu Aug 12 2010 05:29 PM

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