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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close

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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: Recon
Thu Jul 28 2011 12:29 PM

This is my first post on the website this season so let me first say hello to everybody. I've looked at the new 12Z package and read everybody's post as of noon ET.

The shear over the storm is currently between 10 & 15 knots from the north and northeast with less than 5 knots in a generally north to south axis just ahead of its track. The amount of shear is not enough to impose any strengthening issues at this time.

Water vapor imagery shows relatively dry air along the track and I did look at the most current dry air imagery from CIMMS and there is dry air indicated to the west and less so to the NW of the storm and particularly over land where almost the entire state of TX is experiencing an "Exceptional" drought.

As per NHC, the models are split; half along a NW track, the other half more west.

The vortex structure; it is in fact not aligned and as satellite imagery indicates...it's not too well put together and what appears as the center on satellite is the mid-level center displaced from the surface which is to the northeast under convection.

Not to stray too much from what I posted over on the Flhurricane FaceBook page...Don may become a minimum hurricane but it's greatest benefit is for it to be a strong Tropical Storm and it's bands to gradually open outward as it spirals downward following landfall and provide the beneficial rainfall TX needs.

Edited by danielw (Thu Jul 28 2011 12:38 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Don Heading Toward Texas	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 12:29 PM
Re: Pressure	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:33 PM
11 PM	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Windshear	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:18 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:12 PM
Re: Windshear	typhoon_tip	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:32 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:31 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:17 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:53 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:44 PM
Re: Windshear	berrywr	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:29 PM
Re: Intensification	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:22 PM
Re: Intensification	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:15 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:00 PM
Re: Windshear	cieldumort	Thu Jul 28 2011 06:35 PM
Don	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 06:28 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 06:21 PM
Re: Windshear	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 06:12 PM
Re: Windshear	WesnWylie	Thu Jul 28 2011 03:33 PM
Re: Windshear	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 02:12 PM
Re: Windshear	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 28 2011 01:33 PM
Re: Recon	Fairhopian	Thu Jul 28 2011 01:25 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Recon	berrywr	Thu Jul 28 2011 12:29 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 12:27 PM
Re: Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 12:02 PM
Re: Recon	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:51 AM
Re: Recon	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Recon	WesnWylie	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:16 AM
Re: Recon	MichaelA	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Recon	hogrunr	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Recon	WeatherNut	Thu Jul 28 2011 11:09 AM
Re: Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:56 AM
Re: Recon	hogrunr	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:50 AM
Re: Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:34 AM
Re: Recon	hogrunr	Thu Jul 28 2011 10:30 AM
Re: Recon	MichaelA	Thu Jul 28 2011 09:25 AM
Re: Recon	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 09:25 AM
Recon	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 09:12 AM
Don Track	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 09:03 AM
Re: Don Vortex 1	WesnWylie	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:50 AM
Re: Don Vortex 1	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:44 AM
Don Vortex 1	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 08:26 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	danielw	Thu Jul 28 2011 07:54 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 06:46 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	MikeC	Thu Jul 28 2011 05:42 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 08:24 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 27 2011 07:55 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	WeatherNut	Wed Jul 27 2011 07:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 06:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:55 PM

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