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Archives 2010s >> 2012 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Sandy Moving North of the Bahamas, Weaker for Now
      Tue Oct 23 2012 07:10 PM

7:30PM EDT 26 Oct 2012 Update
This is the period of wait and see now, as it weakens and gets sheared, along with dry air to the south. This is before the full baroclinic conversion takes place (when it will likely deepen again) is going to be a lot of wait and see. The pressure may fall even while the storm dries out.

For those in the Northeast, be prepared for outages, especially in the coastal areas (But likely fairly far inland). There are quite a few unknowns with this system since there have been so few in history to take a path and conversion like Sandy is forecast to. So the reaction from the weather offices and media in the northeast is quite warranted.

Folks from the east Carolinas through Maine need to pay close attention as the wind field for Sandy (or whatever it becomes) will cover a vast area. Storm surge along parts of the coast will be extreme.

How are Sandy related conditions in your area? Let us know here!


6:30AM EDT 26 Oct 2012 Update

Hurricane Sandy is being affected somewhat by shear, but the wind field of the system is also continuing to expand.

The system has moved northwest overnight around 13mph, and may continue a bit further northwest (while slowing down) before curving more northeast picking up some speed, and then eventually slowing abruptly hooking back west somewhere in the Mid Atlantic (Delmarva to Long Island) It

Since the storm is further north, Tropical Storm Watches are now up for the coasts of North and South Carolina. The Tropical Storm Warnings for Florida remain up, as the worst from Sandy in Florida should be later today and tonight.



As it nears the mid-Atlantic/northeast it likely will retain some of the warm core nature of the storm as it continues to convert to a post-tropical storm, deepening (possibly severely) as it hooks back westward to the coast. But it's already transforming into a non-tropical system where it is now.

Those in the watch/warning areas and beyond should pay attention to local officials and media regarding your immediate area.

7:30AM EDT 25 Oct 2012 Update
Tropical Storm Warnings are now up for much of the Florida East coast as Category 2 hurricane Sandy moves into the Atlantic.

8:30PM EDT 24 Oct 2012 Update
Hurricane Sandy is rapidly strengthening tonight as it moves toward Cuba. Recon recently has found a pressure of 961 (down from 968 at the 8PM advisory)

Sandy's setup will either briefly weaken as it goes over Cuba, but is expected to regain hurricane strength over te Bahamas. Hurricane Warnings do exist for the Central and Northwestern Bahamas.



For Florida the center should be enough offshore to keep winds only at Tropical Storm force, and more areas will likely be under Tropical Storm watches/Warnings later tonight and tomorrow. If sandy continues to strengthen, tropical storm force winds may be felt more inland in Florida than previously expected.

7:30AM EDT 24 Oct 2012 Update

Tropical Storm Sandy is approaching Jamaica this morning and will likely make landfall there as a hurricane, as Sandy is very close to hurricane strength currently.

Tropical Storm Watches are now up for southeastern Florida for the large wind field of Sandy that will likely make the closest approach to Florida (but remain offshore) late Thursday into Friday.



Watch extensions to the north (for east central Florida) are likely later today.

Sandy will mostly be a large wind storm, with steady winds approaching or at tropical storm force, especially Thursday and Friday. Some rain will be seen along the east coast.

Offshore seas will likely be up to 20-25ft, closer in 10-15, and storm surge will likely be 2-4 ft in some areas along Florida, with very strong waves on top of that. In the Bahamas, the surge will likely be more 4-7 ft above normal.

Beach erosion is likely, and some areas (Palm Beach County, for example) may see coastal flooding.

In the Northeastern US, the concern will be if the system gets ejected to the east or stalls and gets trapped off Long Island (very bad setup in that case).

11PM EDT 23 Oct 2012 Update
Sandy continues to accelerate to the north northeast, no watches were issued tonight for Florida, but may tomorrow.

Tropical Storm Tony forms from TD#19 in the central Atlantic, and looks to stay out to sea.

Only two unused names left on the 2012 list.

The largest impact, by far, for Florida will be the extremely rough seas along the east coast. Some areas could see 12 foot seas Thursday, and even higher on Friday (20-25ft). Beach erosion will likely be extreme. Areas along southeast Florida are already starting to see rough seas.

Original Update
Tropical Storm Sandy has begun the move no the north northeast today and Hurricane Warnings are now up for Jamaica and Eastern Cuba.

Tropical Storm Warnings exist for Haiti, and Watches for the Bahamas.

Because of the high potential for a very large wind field with Sandy, Tropical Storm Watches may be needed for Southeast Florida late tonight or tomorrow.

Based on the current Forecast, Friday afternoon would be the closest point to Florida, and tropical storm force winds may reach the coast of southeast Florida then, while the storm itself will be over the Central Bahamas.

Once north of the islands the likelihood for a subtropical or extratropical transition is high. And the forecast takes it more northeast, away from the US, but longer range models suggest the trough interaction will draw the system more west, becoming a strong nor'easter/hybrid that could threaten the Northeastern US. Both major models show this as a possibility, which would bring strong winds along the coast and possibly surge in the northeast sometime next week.

NWS Melbourne Impact weather update

Long term satellite recording for Sandy - Alternate Animator

Long term Radar recording for Sandy - Alternate Animator (Starts from Florida)

Flowing Wind Map

Cameras and more:
Follow Mark Sudduth from HurricaneTrack.com on the map (with video/radar and satellite)

Sebastian Inlet Jetty Cam
Lauderdale By the Sea cam (Winjammer Resort)
Hollywood Beach Webcam (Sugar Reef Grill)
Palm Beach Webcam
New Smyrna Beach Cam (Near Flagler Ave)
Cocoa Beach Pier
Daytona Beach Webcam
Flagler Beach Webcam

Other east coast webcams

Power Outage Maps

Florida:

Florida Power & Light Power Outage Map
Progress Energy Power Outage Map
Florida Road Conditions

Mid-Atlantic & Northeast:

Power Outage Maps (roughly south to north)
Eastern Carolinas Power outage map
Virginia Power outage map
DelMarva Power outage map
Novec/Northern Virginia Power outage map
Portions Maryland/DC power outage Map
Baltimore area Power outage map
Southern Maryland Power outage map
Southeastern Pennsylvania Outage Map
Atlantic City (Southern New Jersey) Power outage map
Jersey Central Power outage map
Northern New Jersey PSEG outage map
New York City/ConEd Power outage map
Long Island Power outage map
Connecticut Power outage map
CT United Illuminating Outage Map
Rhode Island/Mass Power outage map
New Hampshire Power outage map
Western Mass
Eastern Mass (NStar)


{{EastCentralFloridaMedia}}

{{StormCarib}}

{{EastFloridaRadar}}

{{MidAtlanticRadar}}

{{StormLinks|Sandy|18|18|2012|18|Sandy}}

{{StormLinks|Tony|19|19|2012|19|Tony}}

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Sandy Moving North of the Bahamas, Weaker for Now MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 23 2012 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy in the Northern Bahamas HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy in the Northern Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 26 2012 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba bobbutts   Fri Oct 26 2012 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba HobbyistinNH   Thu Oct 25 2012 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 06:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba berrywr   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 24 2012 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Sandy Rapidly Strengthening as it Approaches Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 24 2012 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. Storm Cooper   Wed Oct 24 2012 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Sandy on the Move, Very High Seas for East Coast. Tony Forms. WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:12 AM

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