Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins on June 1st, 2019 and ends on Nov 30th, 2019.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 128 (Michael) , Major: 128 (Michael) Florida - Any: 128 (Michael) Major: 128 (Michael)
Login to remove ads


Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1835
Loc: Austin, Tx
Gulf of Mexico Invest 98L
      Tue Aug 26 2014 01:22 PM

An area of showers and thunderstorms currently stretched NW-SE across the Gulf of Mexico is associated with a "back door" cold front that pushed out over the open waters on Monday.

These showers and storms have started to organize a bit today, and there is a chance of further development, provided the area of low pressure remains over water.

Favoring chances for development, the Gulf of Mexico is currently running above its already toasty climatological norms, and so there is certainly sufficient oceanic heat energy for fuel. Additionally, regional barometric pressure is already somewhat low. Finally, shear over the disturbance itself is not at all prohibitive, with even an upper level high centered across the Gulf.

Detractors include some nearby moderate shear, abundant dry air, and proximity to land.

This is where to put our mid to long range thoughts on this system's potential for further development, intensity, and forecast track. Model output discussions are also appropriate here.

Title changed to reflect addition of Invest tag (98L)

Edited by cieldumort (Wed Aug 27 2014 12:08 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf of Mexico Invest 98L cieldumort Tue Aug 26 2014 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico Invest 98L cieldumort   Thu Aug 28 2014 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico Invest 98L MichaelA   Wed Aug 27 2014 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico Invest 98L JoshuaK   Thu Aug 28 2014 06:58 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Thread views: 4835

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center