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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: 95L Lounge
Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM

As of 17 July 2017 1700Z, the better global tropical cyclone genesis models are not excited with 95L's prospects, beyond perhaps a flash TD and then washing out into an open wave that tracks into central America and/or the eastern Pacific. This is unsurprising, given that 95L is a smaller system. It is even a bit of a surprise that these larger-scale globals have identified its existence much at all.

Alternatively, hurricane-centric models, that tend to initialize on the assumption that there is already something worth looking at, are running pretty hot on 95L, with the HWRF, HWRF-PARA AND HMON-PARA all sending a formidable tropical storm across the Lesser Antilles by mid-week.

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TS DON Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
Re: 95L Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
Re: 95L Lounge	MikeC	Mon Jul 17 2017 11:56 PM
Re: 95L Lounge	MikeC	Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM

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