F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 212 (Idalia) , Major: 212 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 212 (Idalia) Major: 212 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: HARVEY Lounge
      Sun Aug 20 2017 12:12 PM

WSI Calibrated ECMWF EPS now showing a greater than 90% chance that Harvey regenerates.

While the GFS runs should not yet be fully discounted, it is my personal opinion that the new GFS (since the July 19 upgrade) has not performed as admirably with Atlantic tropical cyclones as might be desired, and even in the face of a dramatic convective resurgence this morning, the latest runs (20/0z, 20/06z and now the 20/12z) still do mostly nothing with now x-Harvey... maybe a TD crossing Belize, or forming in the extreme southern Bay of Campeche, at best. These runs now run entirely counter to the Euro, and defy the eyes.

Now awaiting the restarting of the TC-specific models HWRF & HMON. Run, runs, run.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator Sun Aug 20 2017 12:12 PM
. * * Re: HUR HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 22 2017 09:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Tue Aug 22 2017 07:29 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 22 2017 11:48 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:21 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 08:05 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:23 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 03:09 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 05:57 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 07:00 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:35 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 08:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Psyber   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 03:03 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Thu Aug 24 2017 09:06 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:25 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.Moderator   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:42 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:05 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge kspkap   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.Moderator   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:18 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Steve C   Sat Aug 26 2017 09:12 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Kraig   Sat Aug 26 2017 10:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sat Aug 26 2017 11:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sun Aug 27 2017 11:09 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 27 2017 05:53 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:44 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 08:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:11 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 20 2017 12:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 01:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 10:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 16 2017 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 15 2017 10:47 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Tue Aug 15 2017 12:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Wed Aug 16 2017 03:29 PM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Aug 14 2017 11:44 AM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 01:06 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 132 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 52451

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center