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#1003266 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 02.Jun.2020)
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020

...DEPRESSION DRIFTING WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 92.1W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next within 24 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 92.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). The
depression is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward or
southward this afternoon and tonight, and meander over the southern
Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday. On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the
southern Bay of Campeche tonight through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and
the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches)
based on nearby surface observations.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce total
rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts
of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz,
and Campeche. The depression is also expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas and other
Mexican states, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10
to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along
the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of
these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend,
and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall in all
of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart