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Last advisory issued for Isaias as it moves over Quebec. Other than 94L (which looks like it won't develop) Atlantic is quiet for a bit.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 3 (Isaias) , Major: 666 (Michael) Florida - Any: 666 (Michael) Major: 666 (Michael)
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#1010517 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 31.Jul.2020)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA RATON TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HALLANDALE BEACH TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON SATURDAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 70SE 30SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 75.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 77.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.9N 79.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.1N 80.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.2N 80.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.1N 78.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 41.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 47.5N 64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 76.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH