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#1052420 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 09.Jul.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
0900 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF LITTLE
EGG INLET NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE EGG INLET TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY
* LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN...CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS
INCLUDING CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND
NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR INFORMATION ON WIND HAZARDS NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 74.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 27 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 74.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 75.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.2N 70.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 46.6N 63.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 51.3N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 55.4N 45.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 59.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N 74.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART